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Old 12-29-2024, 12:14 PM  
Easy 6 Easy 6 is offline
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NFL Week 17 - Sunday Games
Needs a thread, some decent matchups today

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Old 12-29-2024, 05:13 PM   #436
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And its all because their QB has no fire for the game in his belly, he's the A list smoking Jay Cutler who couldn't be bothered to give a shit

He's not a leader, he's never going to elevate anyone
Gave up a perfect situation in Green Bay for no reason other than ego.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:13 PM   #437
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I think Tyreek has lost a step. Not breaking away from guys like he used to.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:14 PM   #438
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Vikings downfield threats are lethal and Darnold doesn’t shit himself in big moments like Cousins was want to do.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:14 PM   #439
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:15 PM   #440
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I think Tyreek has lost a step. Not breaking away from guys like he used to.
He’s looked like he’s been playing at half speed/load managing like Kelce has this season. As to what he’s load managing for is a separate question.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:15 PM   #441
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So I guess GB isn’t the team everyone thought they were???
They're still very good, if they were at home here we could probably favor them

But Minny is just cooking at home in their friendly confines
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:15 PM   #442
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He’s looked like he’s been playing at half speed/load managing like Kelce has this season. As to what he’s load managing for is a separate question.
kids
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:16 PM   #443
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kids
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:18 PM   #444
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Last spot now:

16 possible scenarios, Denver wins 11 of them, Cincinnati 3 and Miami 2. Miami's outcomes slightly more likely, so they are about equal with Cincy.
I wouldn’t count Miami in the win column just yet. The genius McDaniel refuses to put this game away.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:19 PM   #445
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That is a lateral
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:19 PM   #446
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Except there's 6(and likely a 7th in the Ravens after next week) teams with .700 records. I'd call that top heavy to go along with the bottom heavy.

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Here's the recent past on it. It'll stay at 6 currently unless the Packers come back and win, but we could say 7.

Code:
	Under .300	Over .700
2024	9	        7
2023	5	        4
2022	6	        7
2021	6	        6
2020	6	        6
2019	4	        6
2018	4	        5
That's an average of 5.7 teams under .300 and 5.85 teams over .700, and for the 3 additional teams under .300 there's one additional over .700.

I'm watching the Packers, down 13-3 at the moment and their biggest wins of the year are the Texans and then... uh, Colts?

I guess the main question is if you think all of these .700 teams are legit as good as their record (meaning they didn't just beat up on all of those .300 teams).

And I guess for that, we could look at SoV over the years for playoff teams....

Code:
2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
0.464	0.529	0.422	0.48	0.464	0.484	0.401
0.436	0.471	0.471	0.517	0.471	0.477	0.494
0.549	0.428	0.49	0.428	0.448	0.411	0.435
0.392	0.465	0.438	0.462	0.398	0.488	0.45
0.446	0.513	0.341	0.515	0.401	0.363	0.422
0.354	0.358	0.456	0.394	0.406	0.465	0.456
0.338	0.571	0.456	0.49	0.384	0.466	0.488
0.483	0.475	0.46	0.48	0.387	0.428	0.428
0.454	0.392	0.414	0.443	0.406	0.459	0.419
0.446	0.436	0.425	0.431	0.404	0.417	0.444
0.465	0.379	0.426	0.409	0.388	0.463	0.4
0.385	0.476	0.485	0.492	0.392	0.356	0.486
0.408	0.453	0.395	0.438	0.484		
0.333	0.458	0.382	0.35	0.336		
						
0.425	0.457	0.433	0.452	0.412	0.440	0.444
We're at the 2nd lowest mark in the past several years for playoff teams, which tells me the top teams are on average feasting on the rest of the league (especially since damn near half the league could wind up with 10+ wins, yet SoV for playoff teams is that low?).

Thanks for attending my TED talk.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:19 PM   #447
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Gave up a perfect situation in Green Bay for no reason other than ego.
His bottom line is, its all about him
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:20 PM   #448
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Gb picks off Darnold. On vikes 15.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:20 PM   #449
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I wouldn’t count Miami in the win column just yet. The genius McDaniel refuses to put this game away.
I'm using the weighted likelihood that ESPN says rhey have of winning this game. But, yeah, agree.

It would go to 33.4% Miami, 14.7 Cincy if Miami keeps the lead and wins.
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Old 12-29-2024, 05:20 PM   #450
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