****Official Royals Vs Yankees Gamethread 5/16****

[SPchief]

Duffy on the mound, has to turn the corner tonight. But the pen is well rested.

[cosmo20002]

Good news:

Originally Posted by petegz28

Here is a chart I put together of our net wins. You can see why I said this was a breakout game. We broke through the +9 level which had been acting as resistance. Additionally our support level moved up to +8 games over .500. Meaning in the near future we shouldn't break down below +8 and if we do then we are most likely heading for a losing streak.

But the momentum is obviously to the up side. Since +9 had been tested 3 times and now we finally broke through it, it should signal a stronger winning streak. At least that is the stock market\technical analysis take on the matter.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by cosmo20002

Good news:

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by cosmo20002

Good news:

Rent free, mother ****er...rent free

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by SPchief

Duffy on the mound, has to turn the corner tonight. But the pen is well rested.

Duffy had better have his shit together tonight. If he can't give us 5 innings of 2 runs or less, baseball then I'd say he is on a track headed back to the Pen. He has until Vargas gets off the DL because the way Young is pitching, the odd man out at this point is Duffy.

And that's saying a lot considering Vargas and Guthrie have had 1 and 2 good games, respectively. If Duffy can't out pitch either of them, then we have to send him to the Pen until he gets his head on right, again.

[Lickerman]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Duffy had better have his shit together tonight. If he can't give us 5 innings of 2 runs or less, baseball then I'd say he is on a track headed back to the Pen. He has until Vargas gets off the DL because the way Young is pitching, the odd man out at this point is Duffy.

And that's saying a lot considering Vargas and Guthrie have had 1 and 2 good games, respectively. If Duffy can't out pitch either of them, then we have to send him to the Pen until he gets his head on right, again.

Is there any way you could come up with a graph to make your point easier to understand?

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Lickerman

Is there any way you could come up with a graph to make your point easier to understand?

Sure!!!

[RollChiefsRoll]

Originally Posted by Lickerman

Is there any way you could come up with a graph to make your point easier to understand?

Solid 4th post.

[Pasta Little Brioni]

Can you further explain this chart?

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Pasta Giant Meatball

Can you further explain this chart?

Really? That's the best you got? A poor attempt at tacking onto the "4 posts in 3 years" guy?



disappointed in you, am I

[Pasta Little Brioni]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Really? That's the best you got? A poor attempt at tacking onto the "4 posts in 3 years" guy?



disappointed in you, am I

I was actually being serious. I don't quite understand how it relates to anything.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Pasta Giant Meatball

I was actually being serious

Sorry, I didn't think you were by the tone of your posts in the other thread. If you are serious I will explain the concept to you as long as you understand it was just having some fun at looking at our season thus far from a different perspective.

[Pasta Little Brioni]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Sorry, I didn't think you were by the tone of your posts in the other thread. If you are serious I will explain the concept to you as long as you understand it was just having some fun at looking at our season thus far from a different perspective.

Have at it brah.

[KCUnited]

Does anyone have the updated Petecota projections?

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Pasta Giant Meatball

I was actually being serious. I don't quite understand how it relates to anything.

Okay, here is the concept....

Technical Analysis in the markets attempts to weed out the "why's" for the most part and look at behavior of price. In this case, price is net wins. So you approach it from an aspect of not caring who you are facing, who was pitching, etc., just flat out, what was the net result.

Now the significance of our win last night, according to the chart, is that we broke out of a channel to the upside. This tends to clear the way for more upside or signify momentum to the upside. Another thing that would play in the favor of more upside is the double test of +8 before breaking through + 9. Think of it as a spring loading up. The longer you channel the stronger the breakout will be or breakdown if it goes the other way.

Now other interpretations could be this is a peak, of course, this isn't a crystal ball. And what could also happen is say we lose tonight, which would test the new support level of +9 and ideally go on to win the next few games. So generally speaking, unless this is a peak and we are heading for a downtrend, this is showing that our momentum is picking up and we hopefully will be seeing ourselves at +12, +13 in the near future. That would mesh with some of the internals like, Duffy coming back to being more consistent (hopefully), players coming off injury and suspensions, long home stand ahead of us, etc.

As I stated in my original post, this is a "stock market\technical analysis" view. It's just having some fun and looking at the season thus far slightly different than we are used to doing with sports.