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M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
Casino cash: $-1869692
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2014 Royals Repository
With my 6,000th post on ChiefsPlanet (it only took me 12 years to get here), I bring you: The 2014 Kansas City Royals Repository.
To be discussed here: All things Royals, as they attempt to post another winning season and make it back to the playoffs for the first time since 1985. 25-man RosterAvailable HERE AL Central Standings: Link Duncan's Top 20 Royals Prospects
Spoiler!
Last edited by duncan_idaho; 07-01-2014 at 09:30 AM.. |
Posts: 22,298
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#4441 | |
Mod Team
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Valley of the hot as ****
Casino cash: $-1328100
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Posts: 46,293
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#4442 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
Casino cash: $-2330000
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So can Gio play 3rd?
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Posts: 43,018
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#4443 |
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Casino cash: $-1164257
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Kind of late, but what happened to Omar?
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Posts: 65,447
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#4444 |
The Beast Inside Your Head
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
Casino cash: $-1550878
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Posts: 26,245
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#4445 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
Casino cash: $-2330000
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Posts: 43,018
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#4446 |
Rabbi Goldmann
Join Date: Nov 2012
Casino cash: $5450159
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If they send Moose down they really have to leave Gio on the roster. They're down to one legit utility guy and Gio fills that role since he can play 2B and 3B. Sucks for platoon splits but Moose wasn't hitting RH either. He's had a long leash as it is, time to wrap that leash around his neck and drag him back to the minors
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Posts: 87,025
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#4447 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Kansas
Casino cash: $-431006
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Posts: 23,737
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#4448 | |
World's Best Boss
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bronco Country
Casino cash: $3584654
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Quote:
Moose is closer to Tony Pena Jr. than he's ever been to Alex. |
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Posts: 19,383
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#4449 |
Band
Join Date: Sep 2005
Casino cash: $-444547
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http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/a-l...try-breakfast/
A Less Balanced Country Breakfast by Chad Young - May 12, 2014 For the past few years, we’ve grown accustomed to a steady diet of high on-base, high-average, moderate power output from Billy Butler. In the early going, 2014 hasn’t been nearly as tasty. Terrible breakfast puns aside, Butler’s numbers are down across the board, and anyone lining him up in a util slot has got to be concerned. So is Butler a buy low or a guy you should be trying to get rid of? Let’s start at the surface – a career .297/.362/.454 hitter, good for 15-20 HR (not counting the crazy 2012 season), Butler has kicked off 2014 on pace for 5-6 HR with a .242/.295/.311 line. His .298 BABIP doesn’t scream “bad luck,” but Butler’s career BABIP is .326. His batted ball data shows an increase in line drives and a decrease in fly balls this year, which should lead to a higher, not a lower BABIP, although a big drop in HR/FB rate means that more of those fly balls are staying in play, which definitely hurts. The thing is, even if we assume a .327 BABIP, that adds three hits. Let’s assume, just to be nice, that they are all doubles. Three more doubles and his line looks like this: .265/.319/.356. So, you know, still really bad. Part of the problem is that Butler has been striking out far more than normal. His career rate (14.5%) is a bit lower than he has shown the last two years (16.3% in 2012, 15.3% in 2013), but so far this year he is at 20.5%, which dwarfs all his previous numbers. At the same time, his BB% (7.8%) would be his lowest since 2008. I don’t know if anyone has done any research on this, but I’d bet more Ks plus fewer BBs equals less production. Just a hunch. The problem for Butler seems to be an odd shift in his plate discipline. He is making contact just as well as ever, both in pitches in and out of the zone, but he appears to be swinging at fewer good pitches (59.3%, compared to 62.7% for his career, and on pace to be a career low) and more bad pitches (31.3%, compared to 27.5% for his career, and on pace to be a career high). The result is two-fold. First, the increased strike out rate is coming despite no meaningful shift in his SwStrk%, which may be partially bad luck, but is also likely due to take pitches for strikes so much more often. Second, his IFFB% is 9.5%, more than 3x the 3.1% he posted last year, and 50% higher than his career rate of 6.3%. Butler is chasing more pitches and making contact with more bad pitches – bad contact (like, say, infield fly balls) seems like a plausible outcome. It’s worth noting that the plate discipline numbers I am citing come from Baseball Info Solutions and that that the PitchF/x data for Butler does not show the same discrepancy compared to his career numbers, but the impact is pretty clear. If you are a Butler owner, or considering getting into the Country Breakfast business, I’d be watching those plate discipline numbers. If Butler keeps chasing, taking strikes, hitting pop ups and striking out, the BABIP regression (and it is coming), won’t be enough to help. If the BIS data isn’t as accurate as PitchF/x, or if Butler starts to show the approach we’ve come to expect, the results should follow. Personally, I have never felt that Butler’s actual fantasy value matched his perceived fantasy value – util-only bats without much power just aren’t my thing. The troubling approach in the early season would be enough for me to want to sell off any shares I had. I’d push the unexpectedly low BABIP, point out the steady swinging strike rate, and hope to find someone willing to buy on a bounce back. Butler’s Yahoo Average Draft position was 106.7, near players like Sergio Romo, Brett Lawrie, and Hisashi Iwakuma. If I could turn Butler into one of those players (particularly if I needed a closer, MI if Lawrie qualifies or a SP), I would do it in a heartbeat. Posted via Mobile Device |
Posts: 8,302
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#4450 |
Forever Royal
Join Date: Mar 2012
Casino cash: $-1638700
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We cannot continue with just 5 guys for the infield. Esky could use a day off here and there, and clearly so could Infante when he comes back.
Gio needs to stay up regardless if Moose goes down or not. I think he has earned that. On a daily basis we can put one of Valencia, Moose, or Gio at third and then still allow Esky and Infante to have a day off every now and then as well by keeping Gio around. |
Posts: 26,453
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#4451 |
birth of spatch
Join Date: May 2008
Casino cash: $10006207
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Get Moose the hell away from this team. He has more than played his way off of it.
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Posts: 4,569
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#4452 |
Forever Royal
Join Date: Mar 2012
Casino cash: $-1638700
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This isn't inaccurate, but we would need a replacement infielder in my opinion. Five infielders is just not enough. We could really use someone who is comfortable playing first and third base. Imagine Billy at third?
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Posts: 26,453
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#4453 |
MVP
Join Date: Feb 2013
Casino cash: $-678884
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Posts: 18,321
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#4454 | |
birth of spatch
Join Date: May 2008
Casino cash: $10006207
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Quote:
Infante - 2B/SS Valencia - 3B/2B Gio - 2B/3B Hosmer - 1B Butler - 1B |
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Posts: 4,569
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#4455 |
sorta mod-ish
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: KC North
Casino cash: $11616
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Time for Christian Colon to get a look if Moose goes down?
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Posts: 106,576
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