Investing megathread extravaganza

[DaFace]

A place to talk about investing stuff.

[scho63]

Sold out my QQQs too early but still got nearly $8,000 on a $1,620 investment for a day

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin

You had another winner in Moderna today. Eat some steak and lobster

Yeah, now I'm only down 30 percent on MRNA. But I was still really happy about the gain and I'm confident that it'll come back. At one point I was up 100% on it before it plummeted, so I'm ready for the next plague.

Man oh man, I was rolling triple 7s on everything today. NVDA, MRNA, AMD, RCL, ANF, and the list goes on. Unless some dead-cat bounce day right after the 2020 shutdown beat it, I'm pretty sure this was my best investing day ever in terms of raw dollar gains.

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by ThaVirus

How much this run you? 5-10 years ago this would have been like $9. I fear today you had to drop a cool Jackson.

Y'know, after a day like today, I didn't even ask the price. I just handed them my credit card and said, "I don't need a receipt".

[ThaVirus]

Wow. NVDA up $110 today. What tf is happening? Lol.

Now I see what y’all are talking about. Would love to have gotten in on that at the ground floor.

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by ThaVirus

Wow. NVDA up $110 today. What tf is happening? Lol.

Now I see what y’all are talking about. Would love to have gotten in on that at the ground floor.

I historically get in on stuff too late, because the Next Big Thing is always a tech stock these days, and I'm slow to pick up on tech innovations. I got lucky on this one because at some point a few years ago I decided that chips are basic infrastructure and I like infrastructure stocks, so I bought half a dozen chip stocks and this was one of them. My wife's financial advisor had also bought it and I didn't know that, so I inadvertently doubled down. Then ... boom. It took off.

I want to say that it's still got a lot of room for growth, so maybe it's not too late. But then again I have no feel for these things. However, I got into google and amazon late and they've continued to grow. I'm starting to think that following the crowd is a good strategy for tech stocks.

[TinyEvel]

I actually bought NVDA back in 1999 when it was like $1.50.

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But I sold it pretty soon afterward and invested in ELOT overseas gambling stock, which was so low at the end, selling all of it wouldn't even cover my Datek $9.99 trade fee.

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin

Here you go, next NVDA And earnings 2/26 . SKYT $9 right now

Interesting. What's your premise?

I'm also debating buying some of Tinyevel's ELOT stock while the price is down. Or maybe not.

[scho63]

Originally Posted by Rain Man

Okay, they took my $200,000 back. I'm disappointed, but I understand.

Nigerian Prince?

[Buehler445]

So, there are some indicators that show stocks might be overpriced.

Normally this stuff is uninteresting drivel, but I thought this was interesting. Big investors have to file their prior quarter transactions to the SEC. Normally by the time it's disclosed, the timing isn't right to follow their lead on any buys, but the disclosures showed a bunch of dudes were selling.

Right or wrong it's interesting.

Maybe some of it is a function of of being able to achieve a return on cash (finally), maybe some of it was profit taking and waiting to reinvest, no way to know.

Nonetheless, it's interesting.

[RockChalk]

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin

Skywater technology is a growing semiconductor company, was watching a video about them the other day about looking for a company that could be the next NVDA, Amazon, MSFT type .

I bought NVDA early but didn't know it at the time and sold at $53 and was proud of making a big profit. LOL

Your timing was great, as they had a decent drop Friday morning. Bought 150 shares at it's low point.

[Buehler445]

So you all are probably going to hate this, but I feel compelled to make a case for dumping NVDA.

First, the market cap of NVDA is more than the ENTIRE Chinese Stock Exchange.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidi...010315545.html

P/E Ratio
NVDA 66.28
Microsoft 36.86 (also pushed up by the AI)
Google 24.52 (probably the best shot at applicable AI)
Qualcomm 22.02
Texas Instruments 23.05

Some analyst I heard say in order to reach it's lofty valuation, it would have to get ANOTHER paradigm changing technology and dominate it like they did AI. No clue if that's right or not, but that's fairly horrifying.

I've done it with commodities, it's a lot easier to live with yourself if you give up some upside than if you ride it down. It does for me anyway.

If it were me, I'd dump it.

[big nasty kcnut]

Any low end stock i should buy before they get stupid high?

[RockChalk]

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin

Are you holding long or taking the swing ??

I think I'm gonna hold on to it

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by Buehler445

So you all are probably going to hate this, but I feel compelled to make a case for dumping NVDA.

First, the market cap of NVDA is more than the ENTIRE Chinese Stock Exchange.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidi...010315545.html

P/E Ratio
NVDA 66.28
Microsoft 36.86 (also pushed up by the AI)
Google 24.52 (probably the best shot at applicable AI)
Qualcomm 22.02
Texas Instruments 23.05

Some analyst I heard say in order to reach it's lofty valuation, it would have to get ANOTHER paradigm changing technology and dominate it like they did AI. No clue if that's right or not, but that's fairly horrifying.

I've done it with commodities, it's a lot easier to live with yourself if you give up some upside than if you ride it down. It does for me anyway.

If it were me, I'd dump it.

Having lived through the dotcom bubble disaster, I'm wary of a stock crashing, and honestly I've never had a stock do as well as NVDA has these last three years, so it's unprecedented for me to consider.

TSLA came close on the upside. I was up 900+ percent on it for a while, and then it lost half its value. However, I didn't have a ton of it initially so I survived the downside and am still very happy.

But NVDA? I'm up over 1,000 percent on it now, and losing half of that would still be a great win, but it would sure hurt. I'm selling off tiny bits, and the nice thing is that I can sell off 10 percent of my stock now and all the rest will be profit.

I'm also scarred by selling all of my Dell stock in the early 1990s. I doubled my money and thought I was a genius, and the stock went up a hundredfold after I sold it. That hurt. So I have to keep a fair amount of NVDA on the chance that it does the same thing, and I think it's as likely to do that as fall 90 percent.

tl;dr. I've got enough profit that I'm selling a tiny bit to get my original money out and ensure that there'll never be a loss, but I'm too scarred by past FOMO to sell a lot of it.

[Buehler445]

Originally Posted by Rain Man

Having lived through the dotcom bubble disaster, I'm wary of a stock crashing, and honestly I've never had a stock do as well as NVDA has these last three years, so it's unprecedented for me to consider.

TSLA came close on the upside. I was up 900+ percent on it for a while, and then it lost half its value. However, I didn't have a ton of it initially so I survived the downside and am still very happy.

But NVDA? I'm up over 1,000 percent on it now, and losing half of that would still be a great win, but it would sure hurt. I'm selling off tiny bits, and the nice thing is that I can sell off 10 percent of my stock now and all the rest will be profit.

I'm also scarred by selling all of my Dell stock in the early 1990s. I doubled my money and thought I was a genius, and the stock went up a hundredfold after I sold it. That hurt. So I have to keep a fair amount of NVDA on the chance that it does the same thing, and I think it's as likely to do that as fall 90 percent.

tl;dr. I've got enough profit that I'm selling a tiny bit to get my original money out and ensure that there'll never be a loss, but I'm too scarred by past FOMO to sell a lot of it.

That's all fair, and I don't have any so I recognize that it's easier for me to say.

I would say that if it has a Dell type run, is that even possible? I heard just today the market cap of NVDA is bigger than the stock market of Germany and the increas in market cap was enough to represent the ENTIRE market cap for GM, Ford and Ferrari.

If it goes up like the Dell stock did then it would just be, what? bigger than every other stock on the planet combined? I don't think I'm going out on a limb saying that move has already happened (see Hog Farmer's story).

FOMO is a real thing, but goddamn, I'd have trouble not booking at least the 10% to me to even.