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#1351 | |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Oct 2007
Casino cash: $-1860960
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Quote:
That dude is ****ing insufferable. He's tried to tone it down a bit as to not seem completely unreasonable and ungrateful, but it just doesn't work. |
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Posts: 52,783
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#1352 | |
Special Teams ACE!!!
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Where the hell is SNR
Casino cash: $-1274792
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Quote:
Bet you were ready to call him a bust after year 2. |
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Posts: 93,253
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#1353 | |
Black Bob's daddy
Join Date: Nov 2017
Location: under the sun
Casino cash: $-1059600
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Posts: 5,365
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#1354 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2001
Location: midtown KC
Casino cash: $-1115090
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Quote:
So why emphasize younger players? A few reasons. 1) they're still physically maturing. They're theoretically not maxed out yet. You may well get dramatic improvement. 2) they'll still be on the young side when it's time for the second deal. This is good news if you're keeping them - and good news if you want to trade them as they're a better get for the other team. 3) maybe you want to go that second deal, but not the third. Guess what? Yep, they're still under 30 and possibly attractive trade bait. Or maybe you want to STILL keep them! You know, because they still have some good football left. |
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Posts: 19,363
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#1355 |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Casino cash: $-600901
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I do think we sometimes overestimate the physical development left for some of these guys.
Not all of them (FAU, for example, out of K-State), but when we draft a guy like Worthy out of UT and say "Man, if we can get him in an NFL strength program..." I think we're ignoring just how INSANE the strength programs for these major schools are. Shit, the weight programs in major high schools now are ridiculous. As for the 2nd deal, I just don't think age matters a ton. If you're looking at a guy you're thinking about signing who's 24 vs 26, very few of those guys are playing past 3-4 years on that deal anyway. You're still getting most of them through their prime. Meanwhile if you can get a player who's far more ready to play because he's 23 when you drafted him instead of 21 and you MAXIMIZE that rookie deal, there's a pretty significant benefit to that. I think it's worth considering, yes. But I think there are times we put far too much into it. We overthink it. There are benefits/drawbacks either way. As such, I could see using it to break a tie (except for maybe on the OL where that 3rd contract is in play given how long those guys can play) but I wouldn't really give it a ton more weight than that. I certainly wouldn't have it in my 'decision lens'. It's just another factor to me and not a particularly significant one at that.
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"If there's a god, he's laughing at us.....and our football team..." "When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags." |
Posts: 66,628
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#1356 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2001
Location: midtown KC
Casino cash: $-1115090
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Quote:
Skewing towards younger players is betting on upside. |
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Posts: 19,363
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#1357 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Casino cash: $-600901
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Quote:
21 vs. 23? Eh - there are a lot more indicators of 'upside' than age in that equation. When we're talking about guys getting drafted, we're talking about the top 1% of athletes to walk the earth. There's some self-selection going on there; not a lot of guys who are making themselves draft quality players without having finished up puberty yet. I mean it happens, but its rare. These guys are a hell of a lot closer to 'finished' physically at 21 than we let on, IMO. Most of them were shaving at 12 - they're different breeds of cat.
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"If there's a god, he's laughing at us.....and our football team..." "When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags." |
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Posts: 66,628
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#1358 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2001
Location: midtown KC
Casino cash: $-1115090
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Quote:
No, I reject the notion that these guys are finished products at 21 or 22. There's just far too much evidence to the contrary. |
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Posts: 19,363
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#1359 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Casino cash: $-600901
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Quote:
It's the quality of competition or just raw ability. I don't think starting from 21 means your ceiling is any higher than starting from 23 at this level. And ultimately I think if it takes you longer to get there, you've given back whatever you may have gained by burning off utility in your rookie deal. The idea that 21 is clearly BETTER than 23 is where I leave the argument. It isn't -- it's just different. And if 23 means you get production through 4 years of a 5 year rookie deal where 21 means you get it for 2 or 3 of those years...well I think you've lost value in the exchange. Hard Karlaftis not had odd schooling that had him coming out younger, I just don't think his development curve would've changed a ton. And if it did and we got the 23 year old version on him in year 1 of his rookie deal vs. the 21 year old version, doesn't that have plenty of value of its own?
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"If there's a god, he's laughing at us.....and our football team..." "When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags." |
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Posts: 66,628
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#1360 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2001
Location: midtown KC
Casino cash: $-1115090
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Posts: 19,363
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#1361 |
Cheat Death
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Land of Drincoln
Casino cash: $-1361756
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Unless KState is teaching slow get off, and they very well could be, I'm just not sure what the upside they saw in this guy outside of bulking up to become a power rusher because you don't get faster as you age
Sure you can miss with the last pick of the 1st, and I'm not trying to crucify anyone in hindsight, but I mean, you can't beat out Mike Danna? IDGAF how old you are |
Posts: 36,829
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#1362 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: San Antonio Tx.
Casino cash: $364454
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Not sure who the Chiefs could have taken there that would have been better?
LaPorta I suppose….
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Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning: Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down. One of the best plays Matt has ever made. |
Posts: 68,381
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#1363 |
Cheat Death
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Land of Drincoln
Casino cash: $-1361756
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Bro has the get off of the CP server but maybe Tamba can roll with him on the mat in the offseason
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Posts: 36,829
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#1364 |
Stay positive, don't give up
Join Date: Dec 2001
Casino cash: $1839383
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Should've taken LaPorta
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Posts: 46,291
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#1365 | |
Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2021
Casino cash: $-179600
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Posts: 4,354
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