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#121 | |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
Casino cash: $2008491
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Quote:
So yes. Next year is going to be a big breakthrough.
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#122 |
Unsparing
Join Date: Aug 2008
Casino cash: $10004900
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I approve of this data-gizmo Mr. Rain Man, and have pos-repped you for your hard work in this endeavor.
Would it be possible to create and track a purely defense-oriented version of this data-model? We have a new D-Coord and system revision coming, and it might be beneficial to track our progress outside of normal NFL parameters.
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#123 |
Politically Incorrect
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Scottsdale, AZ
Casino cash: $1461110
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So financially speaking, if I invested $1000 in the Chiefs at the beginning, how much money would I have now?
![]() Was it a good investment?
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#124 | |
The 23rd Pillar
Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $10019237
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Quote:
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#125 | |
MVP
Join Date: Dec 2018
Casino cash: $4010400
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#126 | |
Champions
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Des Moines, IA
Casino cash: $2146743
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Quote:
On the playoff side of things, what do you think about a factor built in for breaking a slump. The playoff win against the Colts this year gained us 3 points that were immediately negated the following week with a playoff loss. However, most any fan would see this postseason as a positive for the organization's direction. Each sequential playoff loss could then cause a win to be worth that much more. Something like a 0.2 increase for each previous sequential loss > 1 (since you always lose the previous playoff game if you don't win the SB). This year's Colts win would have been worth and additional factor of 0.6 (3 X 0.2) giving the team 4.8 points for the win, and a positive 1.8 for the postseason as a whole. The playoff win in Houston in 2016 broke a 7 game postseason losing streak and would have been worth 7.2 points. |
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#127 | |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
Casino cash: $2008491
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I think I kind of have something built in that proxies this. You get +1 points at the end of each year for making the playoffs and -1 for missing it. So there's that (which also tells you my mindset back in 2009 - I didn't even think about playoff winning or losing streaks). I get your point, though, that a win after several losses would have more of a positive impact. At this point I'd lean toward just being consistent, especially since we have a run of Super Bowl wins coming our way. And welcome - I haven't seen you in a bit.
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#128 |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
Casino cash: $2008491
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I've been waiting to update this, so here you go.
The Chiefs franchise index currently stands at +24.6784. The last time it felt this good to be a Chiefs fan was Week 3 of the 1974 season, where the Chiefs started 2-1 following nine straight winning seasons that included a Super Bowl win, an AFL championship, and another Super Bowl appearance. It was Hank Stram's last year, and the barbarians were at the gates, so the index was on its way down from the 1960s glory years. Andy has made this the best time to be a Chiefs fan in 46 years. Also recall that when Andy took over in 2013, the franchise momentum measure was at an all time low of -27.7736. When Andy arrived on the scene, it was literally the worst time ever to be a Chiefs fan based on this measure. And now we're the Super Bowl champions.
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#129 |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
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Time for an update.
According to this analysis, the week after the Buffalo playoff game was the best time to be a Chiefs fan in the history of the world. The index peaked that week with an all-time high score of 33.7310. The previous high water mark of the franchise was a 22-9 win over the Buffalo Bills in the final week of the 1971 season, which gave us a playoff spot in a Christmas Day game against the Dolphins. We know how that turned out. Our index score was +33.6331. We didn't get back to that level until the Bills game last month. Five of the ten best weeks to be a Chiefs fan have occurred under Andy Reid. The other five occurred under Hank Stram, and it was a long walk through the desert in between. So let's enjoy it.
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#130 |
Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2008
Casino cash: $5956719
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Wow. This is really interesting to me. Well done and rep. I wonder if the formula could be changed? Should the value of each playoff win increase as you win more games? For example, each playoff game would increase slightly to the point that winning the Super Bowl could be worth 15 points? Winning the Super Bowl shouldn’t be worth the same amount as a winning a wild card game? And maybe not increase the negative of a playoff loss? Just something to consider.
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#131 |
Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2008
Casino cash: $5956719
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The rams would be an interesting franchise to run through this algorithm. If we are looking at this like a stock, I wonder what their value would have been after the Super Bowl in 2000 bc they were really bad for a long time before that.
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#132 | |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
Casino cash: $2008491
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Quote:
Yeah, it would be really interesting to do this for all of the teams, and then overlay and compare. But it's more work than I want to tackle. Maybe someday when I find myself really bored. I'll tackle the AFC West teams.
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#133 | |
I’m a Mahomo!
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Mid-Missouri
Casino cash: $6771021
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Quote:
Why wouldn’t it be the week after the Super Bowl win? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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#134 |
Would an idiot do that?
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Arizona
Casino cash: $1524931
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Rain Man is dominating the offseason.
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#135 |
It was not a fair catch
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Correcting papers
Casino cash: $1632630
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There would be many teams that would have had to take Chapter 13 after being in the hole for so long.
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