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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
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Old 01-13-2022, 09:42 AM   #12271
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Market appears to have rolled over this morning which I was afraid of. The last 3 days were too obvious. We could be in for another run to the downside.

FTR I am looking at the following levels for immediate-term support

QQQ - $379ish

SPY - $467ish

We go below those and bad things man, bad things
Last edited by petegz28; 01-13-2022 at 10:08 AM..
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Old 01-13-2022, 02:47 PM   #12272
lewdog lewdog is offline
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Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
Market appears to have rolled over this morning which I was afraid of. The last 3 days were too obvious. We could be in for another run to the downside.

FTR I am looking at the following levels for immediate-term support

QQQ - $379ish

SPY - $467ish

We go below those and bad things man, bad things
You’re pretty spot on. Definitely rolled over towards close. You just using support on the charts for predictions?
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Old 01-13-2022, 02:56 PM   #12273
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You’re pretty spot on. Definitely rolled over towards close. You just using support on the charts for predictions?
14-day Hull Moving Average
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Old 01-13-2022, 02:57 PM   #12274
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Old 01-13-2022, 03:07 PM   #12275
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Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
Market appears to have rolled over this morning which I was afraid of. The last 3 days were too obvious. We could be in for another run to the downside.

FTR I am looking at the following levels for immediate-term support

QQQ - $379ish

SPY - $467ish

We go below those and bad things man, bad things
Guess what? Lotta red out there.
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Old 01-13-2022, 04:16 PM   #12276
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Old 01-13-2022, 07:38 PM   #12277
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I beat the total market in 2021 but I'm hardly an active trader.

For the last thirty years, I've primarily held 100% of my Roth IRA and (for the last fifteen years) 403b in a total market index (FSKAX most recently). I'm the guy who ties the index most years.

I beat the market because I moved about half of my Roth IRA portfolio into FSRBX (Fidelity Select Banking Portfolio) in the middle of August 2020.

It was definitely a market timing move that I wouldn't usually engage in but the overall market had already snapped back from the pandemic and the banking sector hadn't yet. FSRBX did bounce back shortly after I bought it and so it was a little bit like getting the market bounce back X2 in 2020. Huzzah for me. FSRBX also had a better year than FSKAX in 2021, so I'm up against the total market index again this year.

I know that I'm overexposed in the banking sector right now, so I'd like to get back close to 100% FSKAX by the end of 2022. Short term, though, I'm still a little bullish on FSRBX because it's one of the industries most likely to benefit from higher interest rates.

Long term, I also have to decide when I want to move away from 100% equities in my retirement accounts. I passed 50 recently and will likely work at least another 10-15 years, so I'd have time to invest further and recover if the market tanked in the short term. I'm obviously still pretty aggressive with my retirement accounts right now, though.
I sold 1/2 of my FSRBX and put it into FSPHX (which is down 8% YTD).

FSRBX has had a nice early run in the year for me. Up 10.99% YTD.

My Roth is now essentially 1/3 FSKAX, 1/3 FSRBX, 1/3 FSPHX. I think FSPHX goes back up once the omicron wave passes.
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Old 01-14-2022, 08:52 AM   #12278
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AMC in the 19’s!!!!

To the moon now?!?!?!?
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:44 AM   #12279
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Something is telling me that we are in for a route to the downside. We are closer to the 200 SMA on the Qs than we are on the SPYs so perhaps we see those bottom out first.

But the distance between the SPY now and the 200 SMA is about 260 SP500 points which is about 2,600 Dow points.
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Old 01-14-2022, 09:56 AM   #12280
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AMC in the 19’s!!!!

To the moon now?!?!?!?
More like the Mariana's Trench.
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Old 01-14-2022, 10:33 AM   #12281
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I haven’t looked at my account for a week or so since so many tech growth stocks are getting absolutely hammered and I didn’t want to see it assuming it was still bad. Should have not looked so I could keep pretending they are doing good. Just got to hold on to them though.
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Old 01-14-2022, 11:54 AM   #12282
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DIS was downgraded and taking a hit.

This market is brutal.
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Old 01-14-2022, 12:47 PM   #12283
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DIS was downgraded and taking a hit.

This market is brutal.
Oddly enough it has been a favorite of a lot of talking heads so far this year.

And just wait until the real selling hits.
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Old 01-14-2022, 12:49 PM   #12284
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DIS was downgraded and taking a hit.

This market is brutal.
Yeah, I was in at $150 and change, hit $158 and cratered. Still liking it.
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Old 01-14-2022, 12:50 PM   #12285
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The market has low volume too
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