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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
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Old 11-10-2021, 09:05 PM   #11791
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I'm of the opinion that it's a good core stock. It's generally not going to tank and it goes on occasional runs. It's one of my highest performing stocks over the past several years, but I don't notice it much because it never makes a big splash. It just keeps going up.
I am concerned the chip shortage is going to hurt sales. This Christmas could be shaping up pretty poor for retailers (and possibly Apple) with this inflation spiraling out of control.
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Old 11-10-2021, 09:14 PM   #11792
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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I am concerned the chip shortage is going to hurt sales. This Christmas could be shaping up pretty poor for retailers (and possibly Apple) with this inflation spiraling out of control.
Temporary problem.
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Old 11-10-2021, 09:18 PM   #11793
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Temporary problem.
Yeah. The phones are going to break and people will need new ones. I don't foresee Apple having more problems than other phone providers, so I doubt they'll lose market share. Worst case, I'd think they would take a revenue hit this year and then make it up next year.
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Old 11-10-2021, 09:59 PM   #11794
Buehler445 Buehler445 is offline
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I am concerned the chip shortage is going to hurt sales. This Christmas could be shaping up pretty poor for retailers (and possibly Apple) with this inflation spiraling out of control.
They may miss some revenue predictions but I doubt it's a long term problem with them. One thing I think you can say for sure is their core customers have tremendous demand elasticity with respect to price changes. So they will probably fare BETTER than most everybody else in the market.

That being said, in the short/intermediate term they could have exposure to wider market moves. Because they all do. And it's REALLY hard for me, given my experience to cast stones at a dude realizing gains.

/just one dumbasses opinion.

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Yeah. The phones are going to break and people will need new ones. I don't foresee Apple having more problems than other phone providers, so I doubt they'll lose market share. Worst case, I'd think they would take a revenue hit this year and then make it up next year.
This is a real thing. Last month my phone broke. Went to Verizon. All they had was a red iPhone 13 mini and a pink iPhone 13 mini. So fat boy, against his will, has a red iPhone 13 mini. I feel like a gorilla jerking off a mouse.
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Old 11-11-2021, 12:16 AM   #11795
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You can literally look at skyworks sales and interpolate apple iphones. Skyworks grew revenue like 50% yoy and apple iphones are 60% of their revenue, so iphone sales should be fine.
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Old 11-11-2021, 08:56 AM   #11796
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Look at the recent chart on MRNA in a 6 month window. woof.
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Old 11-11-2021, 09:16 AM   #11797
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Look at the recent chart on MRNA in a 6 month window. woof.
There were some asses lost on that one.

*pssst* Hey Lew, this is where you remind everybody to put stops on. /whisper
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Old 11-11-2021, 09:38 AM   #11798
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There were some asses lost on that one.

*pssst* Hey Lew, this is where you remind everybody to put stops on. /whisper
Stop it, you’re getting me hot!
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Old 11-11-2021, 11:32 AM   #11799
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Old 11-11-2021, 04:13 PM   #11800
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Look at the recent chart on MRNA in a 6 month window. woof.

Holy crap, even with that huge drop it's up like 10x in 2 years
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Old 11-15-2021, 06:52 PM   #11801
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Old 11-15-2021, 07:33 PM   #11802
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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Old 11-15-2021, 07:38 PM   #11803
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AMC is getting ready to bust a nut!
It is my friend, it is. The haters will soon have chicken embryo on their faces.
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Old 11-15-2021, 07:40 PM   #11804
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AMC is getting ready to bust a nut!
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It is my friend, it is. The haters will soon have chicken embryo on their faces.
It's been ready to bust since July. YAWN.

When should I get back in?
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Old 11-15-2021, 08:45 PM   #11805
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Okay, here's something really interesting. It may seem silly, but hear me out.

I-series savings bonds don't lose money, and they're linked to inflation. You can buy up to $10,000 per year. They earn a combination of a fixed rate return and an inflation-based return. They're intended to be held for five years, but if you sell them before that, there's only a three-month interest penalty.

Right now, inflation has spiked, so the interest rate is at 7.12 percent right now WITH NO RISK. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv...res_ibonds.htm

The new interest rate is calculated quarterly, so if inflation goes down then the return will be adjusted. But say for example you buy $10,000 worth, and the rate drops from 7.12 to 2.5 percent over the next 12 months. By my calculations you're still earning 4.2 percent on that money if you drop it at one year and forfeit the last 3 months. What's the argument against this?

I'm strongly considering having my wife and me each purchase $10,000 worth right now. We're edging toward retirement so I'd be delighted to get a return in that range with no risk.

There are a number of stories about it popping up, so I think it's a legit strategy to get a reasonable guaranteed return.
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