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06-27-2017, 10:45 PM | #1036 | |
Seize life. Be an ermine.
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I've put a bit of money into some things like REITs and holding companies that I find interesting. You don't really expect the stock to appreciate, but they throw off huge dividends in the 5 to 8 percent range. I've been treating them kind of like fixed-income, even though I know they're not.
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06-27-2017, 11:06 PM | #1037 | |
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With all of the capital requirement changes that occurred after 2008, banks are required to keep more cash on hand in case of emergencies. Their Tier 1 Capital Ratios for small banks was 5.5-7%, and for large banks it was even less. Now they are required to maintain over 10%. What this means is that a huge bank with 10s of billions of dollars of assets are no longer allowed to lend those 10s of billions. It is required to be dead money. This added to more stringent requirements in lending, so banks can only lend to superbly qualified businesses/individuals makes for a disaster that was really unforseen. Money multiplier theory says that a dollar lent can be multiplied something like 27 times. So if a bank is required to keep 30 billion in dead money, this would have otherwise been an 810 billion dollar infusion into the economy, which would have spurred economic growth. (Imagine your small business getting a small chunk if that). So the banks are taking the money that is being infused by QE and putting it straight towards their reserves, instead of injecting it into the economy. This is why no one has seen any real effect of QE until recently, now that the reserves are topped off and in compliance. I know no one likes big banks, but they are an integral part of our economy, and by handcuffing them it hurts everyone. But Bernie and the like don't recognize this and just want more regulations. They need to be loosened up so the banks are allowed to lend. I know this is kind of long, but it may be the first time anyone has explained to you WHY these new bank regulations are so bad, rather than just saying that big banks are bad and greedy and they deserve to be punished. |
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06-27-2017, 11:10 PM | #1038 | |
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06-27-2017, 11:16 PM | #1039 | |
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06-27-2017, 11:16 PM | #1040 |
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Japan has other options besides QE. It's a Milton Friedman concept known as Helicopter Money. Good article about it here: http://www.economist.com/news/financ...out-cash-money
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06-28-2017, 10:04 AM | #1041 | |
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I'm not informed on banking enough to know what the reserve requirements should be, but I know the regulations are hot garbage. At least the ones that trickled down to my local bank, which I understand are markedly different than commercial banks. |
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06-28-2017, 12:07 PM | #1042 | |
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Actually, BoJ was more concerned with real estate prices continuing to increase and raised interest rates during the equities crash. It didn't work and the real estate market crashed as well. Then they dumped interest rates because they'd gone deflationary but it ended up a spiral w/ people sitting on cash. They were starting to raise rates again in the 2000's until we crapped everything out globally. I'm guessing growth from some of their asian neighbors like S. Korea hurt their economy too. All of the developed nations are struggling w/ birth rates. Most of them are squeaking out some growth with the help of immigration but Japan doesn't have a great culture for that.. Their population peaked in 2007/2008 and is shrinking so uh.. that's not gonna help going forward. I think I saw something that unless their demographics change somehow their population was going to shrink 40% in the next 50 years or so. |
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07-02-2017, 08:33 AM | #1043 |
Andy Reid Supporter
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I've been thinking that a compound interest account needs to be started ASAP but I'm not sure what to look for.
Any tips on the best accounts to search for? Best rates? If I missed this, let me know the post # to start reading. Thanks |
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07-02-2017, 11:59 AM | #1044 | |
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Compound interest just means interest on interest gained due to the variable of time. It's why those who invest a little bit of money early in life, can have very large sums later while placing less cash in accounts, than someone who starts later in life but places greater capital in account. That can be accomplished through a variety of devices. Stocks, bonds, basic savings account, CDs. What are you looking to do?
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07-02-2017, 12:31 PM | #1045 | |
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Are there different rates of interest I can select from any of those options? 5% interest in the account? 6? 8? That's what I'm wanting to find |
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07-02-2017, 12:37 PM | #1046 | |
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You aren't guaranteed set rates unless it's a savings account or a CD. Savings accounts earn next to nothing (<1% interest). CDs maybe 1-2% but many require a fairly large deposit. All other options for 5%+ are related to investing and returns are not guaranteed. In these options you theoretically could lose the money you put in or make absolutely nothing. Do you have any retirement options through your employer?
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07-02-2017, 01:06 PM | #1047 | |
Andy Reid Supporter
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Here's what I've got. -401k-6% employer match. Roughly 40k in so far. Thinking of adding more myself by adding 1-2% from my check on top of the 6%. -Roth IRA. Got that in January and have checked it twice. No big movement really. -Investing: I've thought about this a lot but haven't committed yet. Obviously I would choose a dividend stock, but haven't been sold on one yet. I've thought about safe stocks like AT&T and Coca Cola but am not sure that they are good long term stocks. I've thought about wanting something that people will still buy even in bad times. That led me to think of Unilever. |
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07-02-2017, 01:23 PM | #1048 | |
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I like your thinking on the stocks. Unilever has had a massive jump in the past year. It's definitely a nice pick and relates to everyday products. It's been performing well. It's up to you if you think that continues and buy in now, or if you feel it's over-valued and wait.
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07-03-2017, 02:18 PM | #1049 | |
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07-03-2017, 04:49 PM | #1050 | |
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The biggest effect of QE is that it removed toxic and illiquid assets from the books of the largest institutions, which were threatening to create accounting losses for said institutions at the time. This was the huge bailout. Also, large banks do need to have their leverage constrained because they create multiple layers of leverage by leveraging the holding company, resulting in far lower capital levels. The whole topic is frankly too complicated. That is without even getting into concentration risk management. Furthermore, there is no formal reserve requirement of ten percent tier one capital. While increased capital levels are being encouraged by regulators, the level of capital is evaluated with respect to the institution's risk profile. The assumption that reducing the reserve requirement will automatically increase lending is also erroneous. Loan demand has been weak for about a decade now. Furthermore, even if loan demand was stronger, the creditworthiness of borrowers you would be lending to with a lowered reserve would not be nearly as strong. The more competition increases for loans, the more concessions are made by the bank, the more likely the bank is to take losses on that loan. So rolling back regulations allows for increased malinvestment by institutions that have less capability to absorb those losses. Often time these are exacerbated by a dip in specific types of assets, which is where concentration risk comes in. Sound familiar? Sounds like 2007 to me. |
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