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Old 09-29-2024, 09:26 PM  
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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Race for the one seed
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Old 10-29-2024, 04:15 PM   #76
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It's setting up nicely for us.

The Bills still have to play SF and DET.

Houston has to play DET and BAL.

Baltimore has to play HOU, PITx2, CIN and PHI.

We are probably going to root for Baltimore to beat Houston.

The Chiefs can probably afford a loss to Buffalo OR Houston, and one other loss, and not worry at all.

Three losses, slight worry.

I don't think tiebreakers will come into effect until we get to 4 losses.
We’re in great shape. Just keep taking care of business agains the average to bad teams.

I think we roll Houston. Buffalo game worries me a bit. Feels like the game where we could absolutely put the 1 seed to bed, but instead we keep things more interesting than they need to be.
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Old 10-31-2024, 10:34 PM   #77
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Old 10-31-2024, 10:49 PM   #78
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We’re in great shape. Just keep taking care of business agains the average to bad teams.

I think we roll Houston. Buffalo game worries me a bit. Feels like the game where we could absolutely put the 1 seed to bed, but instead we keep things more interesting than they need to be.
Buffalo is always worrisome. They always play us tough and of course will be motivated beyond the usual this-is-our-Super Bowl mantra.

I'm just glad we play them in the middle of November, before their dogshit field turns into a rock hard block of ice.
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:24 AM   #79
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The Chiefs only really have three losable games left now.

@BUF
HOU
@PIT

At the absolute worst, we lose two of those. Likely we win two, and drop some other malarkey to a team we own.

This is a 15-2 team. Only way we go 14-3 is due to rest in Week 17.
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:33 AM   #80
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Wouldn't hate the Bills to drop another one somewhere but we should be ok.

I dont' see any worse than 14 wins unless the train just derails.
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:33 AM   #81
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
76.4% chance 1 seed



The Chiefs only really have three losable games left now.

@BUF
HOU
@PIT

At the absolute worst, we lose two of those. Likely we win two, and drop some other malarkey to a team we own.

This is a 15-2 team. Only way we go 14-3 is due to rest in Week 17.
If KC beats Buffalo, they will be the top seed.

Pittsburgh has a few losses remaining on their schedule in that division.
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:48 AM   #82
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If KC beats Buffalo, they will be the top seed.

Pittsburgh has a few losses remaining on their schedule in that division.
Pitt has a brutal schedule remaining.

Even with the blowout wins, Buffalo has a few close wins against mid teams. They could drop one unexpectedly.

Win these next two, and the Chiefs can load manage the rest of the way.

Would be great to give Kelce, Hopkins, and Hunt a scheduled “vet rest” week each.
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:55 AM   #83
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
76.4% chance 1 seed



The Chiefs only really have three losable games left now.

@BUF
HOU
@PIT

At the absolute worst, we lose two of those. Likely we win two, and drop some other malarkey to a team we own.

This is a 15-2 team. Only way we go 14-3 is due to rest in Week 17.
Yep, we get the #1 seed. Ravens and Bills play each other. We get Houston or Pitt at home for our first playoff game. Me likee that scenario.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:03 AM   #84
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Wouldn't hate the Bills to drop another one somewhere but we should be ok.

I dont' see any worse than 14 wins unless the train just derails.
I don't see them winning in Detroit. That's probably an L.

Outside of that and playing us, their schedule is pretty cake the rest of the way.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:06 AM   #85
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I don't see them winning in Detroit. That's probably an L.

Outside of that and playing us, their schedule is pretty cake the rest of the way.
The stretch of Chiefs/9ers/Rams/Lions is gonna be a tough one for them.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:19 AM   #86
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The stretch of Chiefs/9ers/Rams/Lions is gonna be a tough one for them.
If they lose to us and Detroit then the 1 seed is done, for all intents and purposes.

If they beat us, we need them to lose 2 of those other 3 to still be in good shape down the stretch because they aren't losing any of those last 3 games.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:22 AM   #87
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I’d guess the Bills lose to the Lions and either the Rams or 49ers.

13-4 is probably their best case scenario. Hard to imagine them only losing one more the rest of the way.

If the Chiefs win the next two, the 1 seed is all but locked.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:25 AM   #88
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Beat the Bills and the Chiefs will get the #1 seed barring something really crazy happening.

If they don't, it may still be a grind down the stretch. The Bills' schedule is not a difficult one.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:29 AM   #89
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If KC beats Buffalo, they will be the top seed.

Pittsburgh has a few losses remaining on their schedule in that division.
honestly i think theres a better than low chance that the steelers go 9–8 or 10-7 and barely miss the playoffs. their schedule is really difficult
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Old 11-10-2024, 10:39 PM   #90
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