Let's talk about the Bills - AFC Championship Edition

[TLO]

Discuss

[RunKC]

Originally Posted by O.city

The Chiefs OL has to show up and play well. If Mahomes is under duress all day we're gonna be in trouble.

Mahomes will have time on Sunday. Against a significantly better defense they scored 23. I think they can definitely put up 30+ this week on that defense.

Also keep Kareem Hunt in mind. He had 3 weeks rest and then only 8 carries and 1 catch. They didn’t use him much.

I think Andy wants him to be full go for this game bc his 18-20 carries are gonna need to be very productive against the Bills

[Gary Cooper]

Originally Posted by Hammock Parties

The Texans are the first team in NFL postseason history to outgain their opponent by 100 yards, have 0 turnovers, and lose.

Prior to the Texans, teams were 49-0 in such games. Unreal. �� pic.twitter.com/NUI6eSEb7g

— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 19, 2025

Does that yardage amount count sacks?

They must have lost close to 100 yards surrendering 8 sacks.

[brdempsey69]

Originally Posted by Gary Cooper

Does that yardage amount count sacks?

They must have lost close to 100 yards surrendering 8 sacks.

They lost 58 yards on 8 sacks & Texans had 336 net yards in total Offense.

[Megatron96]

The only thing I'm concerned about defensively is that the last time we played BUF Spags' blitzes couldn't get home. BUF's OL picked up our rushers very well every time it seemed like. I know SPags will bring some different never-seen-before blitz packages, but if they aren't any more effective than last time, Josh cold post up some big numbers.

[smithandrew051]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

The only thing I'm concerned about defensively is that the last time we played BUF Spags' blitzes couldn't get home. BUF's OL picked up our rushers very well every time it seemed like. I know SPags will bring some different never-seen-before blitz packages, but if they aren't any more effective than last time, Josh cold post up some big numbers.

Our pass rush changed dramatically when Omenihu came back though.

[Gary Cooper]

Originally Posted by Megatron96;17926935[B

]The only thing I'm concerned about defensively is that the last time we played BUF Spags' blitzes couldn't get home. [/B] BUF's OL picked up our rushers very well every time it seemed like. I know SPags will bring some different never-seen-before blitz packages, but if they aren't any more effective than last time, Josh cold post up some big numbers.

You're not concerned that Clete Blakeman's crew will call defensive holding and PI on every possession?

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by Gary Cooper

You're not concerned that Clete Blakeman's crew will call defensive holding and PI on every possession?

Lol, not really. Should I be? I'm pretty sure he'll be about as incompetent as he usually is. Been there, done that.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by smithandrew051

Our pass rush changed dramatically when Omenihu came back though.

THat's true. That, and FAU apparently coming into his own finally might be the extra edge we need, no pun intended.

[pugsnotdrugs19]

So we know there's gonna be a spy on sure passing downs

Who do you roll with?

I feel like using Jaden Hicks in that spot might be advantageous. At least on 3rd-and-6+ when you know they can't just run at a light box and pick it up. He's fast enough and big enough that Allen isn't going to punk him or outrun his angles.

I hope Spags is aggressive early and kinda lets the blitz create opportunities for the four-man rush as the game wears on. Never let Allen be comfortable. Even if it means giving up a big play or two, if you can get a turnover or two and not do that on offense, you probably win.

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by Gary Cooper

You're not concerned that Clete Blakeman's crew will call defensive holding and PI on every possession?

I'm not because no one does that in the playoffs.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19

So we know there's gonna be a spy on sure passing downs

Who do you roll with?

I feel like using Jaden Hicks in that spot might be advantageous. At least on 3rd-and-6+ when you know they can't just run at a light box and pick it up. He's fast enough and big enough that Allen isn't going to punk him or outrun his angles.

I hope Spags is aggressive early and kinda lets the blitz create opportunities for the four-man rush as the game wears on. Never let Allen be comfortable. Even if it means giving up a big play or two, if you can get a turnover or two and not do that on offense, you probably win.

Dunno, but I know that Spags used Leo vs. Lamar in Week 1, and that worked fairly well. If I had to guess, I think Spags may rotate the responsibility at some point, to try and confuse Josh. Let's say, start the game having Leo spying, then at some point in the 2nd half when we really need a big stop, switch to Hicks/Cook?

[DRM08]

Originally Posted by Hammock Parties

The Texans are the first team in NFL postseason history to outgain their opponent by 100 yards, have 0 turnovers, and lose.

Prior to the Texans, teams were 49-0 in such games. Unreal. �� pic.twitter.com/NUI6eSEb7g

— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 19, 2025

Houston lost 10 points on 4 plays by Special Teams. Long kick return gave 3 points to Kansas City. The Houston kicker missed 3 kicks adding up to 7 lost points for Houston. Doesn't matter how you do in the rest of the game if you completely shit the bed like this on Special Teams.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by DRM08

Houston lost 10 points on 4 plays by Special Teams. Long kick return gave 3 points to Kansas City. The Houston kicker missed 3 kicks adding up to 7 lost points for Houston. Doesn't matter how you do in the rest of the game if you completely shit the bed like this on Special Teams.

On our side of the ball, let's take a moment to appreciate our STs and ST coach, Dave Toub, who, again, has been nails in the playoffs, with yet another blocked FG in a big moment.

[TLO]

I think the Josh Allen designed runs on 3rd down are going to be huge.

You don't stop those, and you got a 50/50 chance at best of winning.

But then you add Tyler Bass into the mix....

[RunKC]

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19

So we know there's gonna be a spy on sure passing downs

Who do you roll with?

I feel like using Jaden Hicks in that spot might be advantageous. At least on 3rd-and-6+ when you know they can't just run at a light box and pick it up. He's fast enough and big enough that Allen isn't going to punk him or outrun his angles.

I hope Spags is aggressive early and kinda lets the blitz create opportunities for the four-man rush as the game wears on. Never let Allen be comfortable. Even if it means giving up a big play or two, if you can get a turnover or two and not do that on offense, you probably win.

3rd and 3 or more is the ideal gameplan. They need to win early downs to force them into passing spots.

Can’t let them get in short yardage on 2nd and 3rd down.