Football NYT Playoff Simulator is up for 2016 - Page 5

**DaFace** · 11-28-2016, 01:25 PM

I don't know about you guys, but I loved this thing last year. It's similar to cdcox's old forecasting software and is lots of fun for seeing how our chances at the playoffs shift in various scenarios.

League-wide view:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f-picture.html

Chiefs view:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f-picture.html

NJChiefsFan · 12-10-2016, 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

I think they lose Monday night against Baltimore. They're without Gronk and now Martellus Bennett.

Belichick has traded away his two best defensive players, they've struggled to beat the Jets and have only beaten 2 teams with a winning record this year.

Their last quality win was 6 weeks ago against the Steelers, who were without Rothlisberger, so I'm not even sure that counts as a quality win.

Bennett is going to play. May not be 100%.

RINGLEADER · 12-10-2016, 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city

It's looking like 2 of 3 should lock up the division and the 2 seed.

It would be nice to win the next 2 and give some guys 2 weeks off

Whoever wins the AFC Westis almost guaranteed a first round bye. The Pats have to play three teams still playing for something so not out of the realm of possibility that they drop two. Not likely, but possible.

CaliforniaChief · 12-10-2016, 09:17 PM

I think the Patriots are vulnerable in 3 of their last 4 games:

Baltimore
At Denver
At Miami

The Jets just look dead. I suppose it's their Super Bowl but they're terrible.

The Broncos, by virtue of their defense, are a real threat to beat the Pats.

threebag · 12-10-2016, 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

Why does the NYT thing say that now that we have beaten the Raiders they have a better chance of winning the division and getting the bye?

If I had known that would happen I would have been rooting for the Raiders to win.

Smasher was he will be cheering denver tomorrow

NJChiefsFan · 12-10-2016, 09:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief

I think the Patriots are vulnerable in 3 of their last 4 games:

Baltimore
At Denver
At Miami

The Jets just look dead. I suppose it's their Super Bowl but they're terrible.

The Broncos, by virtue of their defense, are a real threat to beat the Pats.

Jets didn't even care on mnf. Maybe petty could give them energy but I doubt they even put up a fight.

ThaVirus · 12-18-2016, 04:34 PM

According to this nifty thing, we've still got a 40% chance of winning the 2 seed and 31% chance at the 5 seed. Only 5% chance of missing the playoffs entirely.

Relax.

Dante84 · 12-18-2016, 04:44 PM

So, if the Raiders lose, we remain in the #2 spot?

We might as well root for Denver to lose as well then.

**DaFace** · 12-18-2016, 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dante84

So, if the Raiders lose, we remain in the #2 spot?

We might as well root for Denver to lose as well then.

Yes. And yes. If we concede that we're not getting the #1 pick, we want the Broncos to lose.

CaliforniaChief · 12-18-2016, 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaFace

Yes. And yes. If we concede that we're not getting the #1 pick, we want the Broncos to lose.

I'll concede that just so that I can cheer for them to lose.

lcarus · 12-18-2016, 04:51 PM

Shoot I don't need a playoff simulator. I know what's gonna happen. A road playoff loss in Baltimore or Pittsburgh.

scho63 · 12-18-2016, 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaFace

Yes. And yes. If we concede that we're not getting the #1 pick, we want the Broncos to lose.

We CANNOT win the #1 seed anymore unless NE lost all three and we win last two

Not going to happen

KChiefs1 · 12-18-2016, 05:26 PM

Go Pats!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

**DaFace** · 12-18-2016, 06:33 PM

If I'm reading everything correctly, the Chiefs will clinch if:

The Chiefs win ANY game (vs Broncos or @ Chargers)
The Ravens lose ANY game (@ Steelers or @ Bengals)
The Steelers lose to the Browns (ha!)
The Dolphins lose BOTH games (@ Bills and vs. Patriots)

**DaFace** · 12-18-2016, 06:35 PM

It's pretty simple for the division. Now that the Raiders have won, we need to have a BETTER record than them through the final two games. If they lose one, we need to win both. If they lose both (unlikely), we have to win one.

**DaFace** · 12-18-2016, 06:40 PM

Oh, and in terms of raw percentages, it gives us a 98% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 27% chance of getting a bye at this point.

11-28-2016, 01:25 PM
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $-1643101	NYT Playoff Simulator is up for 2016 I don't know about you guys, but I loved this thing last year. It's similar to cdcox's old forecasting software and is lots of fun for seeing how our chances at the playoffs shift in various scenarios. League-wide view: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f-picture.html Chiefs view: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f-picture.html
Posts: 53,117

12-10-2016, 09:17 PM	#63
CaliforniaChief #RIPAce Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: So Cal Casino cash: $10715899	I think the Patriots are vulnerable in 3 of their last 4 games: Baltimore At Denver At Miami The Jets just look dead. I suppose it's their Super Bowl but they're terrible. The Broncos, by virtue of their defense, are a real threat to beat the Pats.
Posts: 17,443

12-18-2016, 04:34 PM	#66
ThaVirus 5 o’clock free crack giveaway Join Date: Sep 2007 Casino cash: $-1587631	According to this nifty thing, we've still got a 40% chance of winning the 2 seed and 31% chance at the 5 seed. Only 5% chance of missing the playoffs entirely. Relax.
Posts: 46,906

12-18-2016, 04:44 PM	#67
Dante84 Tossed Salad & Scrambled Eggs Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: ATX & OPKS Casino cash: $-1828004 VARSITY	So, if the Raiders lose, we remain in the #2 spot? We might as well root for Denver to lose as well then. __________________ ..
Posts: 20,445

12-18-2016, 04:51 PM	#70
lcarus Everybody Lies. Join Date: Aug 2010 Location: 22 Acacia Avenue Casino cash: $-1709887	Shoot I don't need a playoff simulator. I know what's gonna happen. A road playoff loss in Baltimore or Pittsburgh.
Posts: 17,816

12-18-2016, 05:26 PM	#72
KChiefs1 I’m a Mahomo! Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Mid-Missouri Casino cash: $6771021	Go Pats! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk __________________
Posts: 54,038

12-18-2016, 06:33 PM	#73
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $-1643101	If I'm reading everything correctly, the Chiefs will clinch if: The Chiefs win ANY game (vs Broncos or @ Chargers) The Ravens lose ANY game (@ Steelers or @ Bengals) The Steelers lose to the Browns (ha!) The Dolphins lose BOTH games (@ Bills and vs. Patriots)
Posts: 53,117

12-18-2016, 06:35 PM	#74
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $-1643101	It's pretty simple for the division. Now that the Raiders have won, we need to have a BETTER record than them through the final two games. If they lose one, we need to win both. If they lose both (unlikely), we have to win one.
Posts: 53,117

12-18-2016, 06:40 PM	#75
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $-1643101	Oh, and in terms of raw percentages, it gives us a 98% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 27% chance of getting a bye at this point.
Posts: 53,117