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Old 09-23-2024, 12:51 PM  
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DVOA and Postseason odds tracking
Chiefs DVOA

https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa

3rd Ovr.
9th Off.
4th Def.

Postseason odds

https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds


96%.2 chance AFC West title
76.4% chance 1 seed (1st)
64.9% chance AFCCG App (1st)
38.6% AFCCG Win (1st)
20.7% chance SB Win (2nd)
5.7% chance 17-0 (1st)
Last edited by Hammock Parties; 11-05-2024 at 09:17 AM..
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Old 10-29-2024, 02:44 PM   #61
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Getting the 1 seed is ideal in that you avoid this years pesky 7 seeds. Let Balt/Buff deal with that.
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Old 10-29-2024, 02:45 PM   #62
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
The only thing the Steelers have that can put points on us would be Pickens -- we don't really have anyone who can hang with him.
Holy shit you just keep digging the hole.
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Old 10-29-2024, 02:46 PM   #63
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Right now the seeding would be:

1 Chiefs

2 Texans
7 Chargers

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4 Bills
5 Broncos
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Old 10-29-2024, 02:48 PM   #64
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
Holy shit you just keep digging the hole.
People keep saying that to me, but I don't understand why that's a radical opinion.

McDuffie is a Top 5 CB in this league, but he does struggle (by his standards) against larger receiving targets. He got beat by Bowers.

Doesn't mean I don't love this defense against the Steelers, it just means that if we're defending them in the red zone, Pickens is a threat against almost anybody.
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Old 10-29-2024, 02:51 PM   #65
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
People keep saying that to me, but I don't understand why that's a radical opinion.

McDuffie is a Top 5 CB in this league, but he does struggle (by his standards) against larger receiving targets. He got beat by Bowers.

Doesn't mean I don't love this defense against the Steelers, it just means that if we're defending them in the red zone, Pickens is a threat against almost anybody.
There's MULTIPLE examples of McDuffie defending larger targets and not getting abused.

Pickens isn't Randy ****ing Moss. He'll have less than 50 yards against McDuffie when we play PIT.
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Old 10-29-2024, 02:54 PM   #66
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
There's MULTIPLE examples of McDuffie defending larger targets and not getting abused.

Pickens isn't Randy ****ing Moss. He'll have less than 50 yards against McDuffie when we play PIT.
Randy Moss is a GOAT. Pickens is an extremely talented red zone option.

Courtland Sutton isn't some All Pro receiver either, but he does one thing at an elite level, and he's done it to us a number of times.

No judgment; the other team gets paid too.
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:17 AM   #67
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https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa

3rd Ovr.
9th Off.
4th Def.

Postseason odds

https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds


96.2% chance AFC West title
76.4% chance 1 seed (1st)
64.9% chance AFCCG App (1st)
38.6% chance AFCCG Win (1st)
20.7% chance SB Win (2nd)
5.7% chance 17-0 (1st)
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Old 11-05-2024, 09:24 AM   #68
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Surprised the offense’s efficiency didn’t take a big jump after last night..

I’m assuming it’s because the Bucs’ defense is pretty bad by DVOA standards.
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Old 11-05-2024, 10:33 AM   #69
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The Steelers would worry me a bit more than most at the moment, tbh.

Obviously they’re a long ways off but Watt would likely cause Mahomes to have one of those off games worrying about him for an entire 60 minutes.
I'll take the Steelers at home and then a AFCCG against the winner of Bills vs. Ravens.
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Old 11-05-2024, 10:38 AM   #70
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
People keep saying that to me, but I don't understand why that's a radical opinion.

McDuffie is a Top 5 CB in this league, but he does struggle (by his standards) against larger receiving targets. He got beat by Bowers.

Doesn't mean I don't love this defense against the Steelers, it just means that if we're defending them in the red zone, Pickens is a threat against almost anybody.
They keep saying that because you have no clue what you're talking about
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:01 AM   #71
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I think the Chargers or Bengals would have a real solid shot at upsetting Buffalo.
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Old 11-05-2024, 11:12 AM   #72
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Old 11-11-2024, 05:41 PM   #73
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The computer hates us this week

https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa

3rd Ovr.
10th Off.
5th Def.

Postseason odds

https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds


96.5% chance AFC West title
74.6% chance 1 seed (1st)
60.9% chance AFCCG App (2nd)
34.3% chance AFCCG Win (1st)
16.9% chance SB Win (3rd)
5.4% chance 17-0 (1st)
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Old 11-11-2024, 06:06 PM   #74
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If we wrap up the one seed early, like in Week 15 or 16;

Would Andy rest the starters for multiple regular season games?
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Old 11-11-2024, 06:09 PM   #75
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If we wrap up the one seed early, like in Week 15 or 16;

Would Andy rest the starters for multiple regular season games?
No chance also if we get the 1 and have a bye I don't even know if he rests them the last week
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