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09-23-2024, 12:51 PM | |
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DVOA and Postseason odds tracking
Chiefs DVOA
https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa 3rd Ovr. 9th Off. 4th Def. Postseason odds https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds 96%.2 chance AFC West title 76.4% chance 1 seed (1st) 64.9% chance AFCCG App (1st) 38.6% AFCCG Win (1st) 20.7% chance SB Win (2nd) 5.7% chance 17-0 (1st) Last edited by Hammock Parties; 11-05-2024 at 09:17 AM.. |
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10-28-2024, 10:25 AM | #46 |
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Oh.
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10-29-2024, 09:57 AM | #47 |
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Chiefs DVOA
https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa 4th Ovr. 9th Off. 4th Def. Postseason odds https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds 94% chance AFC West title 64.8% 1 seed (1st) 58.7% chance AFCCG App (1st) 34.6% AFCCG Win (1st) 19.9% chance SB Win (1st) 3.6% chance 17-0 (1st)
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10-29-2024, 10:01 AM | #48 |
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Yeah - that all feels about right.
Buffalo is really the only team I think might get past us for the 1 seed and Houston, having not played us yet either, would be the other one. I guess the Steelers have a shot at us but c'mon - it's the Steelers. The Chargers, Colts and Bengals all fighting for that last playoff spot is just annoying to me. Why the hell did we go to 7 playoff teams again? Lord that's a useless playoff spot.
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10-29-2024, 11:17 AM | #49 |
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The Steelers would worry me a bit more than most at the moment, tbh.
Obviously they’re a long ways off but Watt would likely cause Mahomes to have one of those off games worrying about him for an entire 60 minutes. |
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10-29-2024, 12:00 PM | #50 |
Rockin' yer FACE OFF!
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One guy is not enough. If that's the only reason to worry, there is no reason to worry.
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10-29-2024, 12:06 PM | #51 |
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Assuming there isn't an absurd resurgence and historical run from the Bengals to meet us in the playoffs, there's really only one team I look at and say "man, that team could beat us on an even field," and that's the Lions.
That team looks like an absolute juggernaut. I assume we face the Ravens in the AFCCG again, but Henry can't do much against this run defense, and literally the only thing keeping the Ravens in that game was Likely going off against a completely unprepared Nick Bolton. I'd bet on KC 7 times out of 10 against the Texans. I'd bet on KC 7 times out of 10 against the Ravens. I'd bet on KC 6 times out of 10 against the Bills. I'd bet on KC maybe a little better than 5 times out of 10 against the Bengals playing at their best. The Lions, though. That's the only team in this league that spooks me. The Packers and Rams would give us a good fight, but we have more solutions for them than they would have for us. We should own the Eagles and the 49ers. The Lions though, that has the feel of a true 50/50 game. If they had Hutch, I may even give them the lean. Buuuuuuut they don't. |
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10-29-2024, 12:07 PM | #52 |
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Not scared of a team with a QB that can't move. Chiefs would beat the shit out of the Lions.
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10-29-2024, 12:09 PM | #53 | |
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Quote:
Albeit that's hard to put much weight on that, isn't it? Goff played the 2018 Chiefs _efense, and Kadarius Toney single-handedly gave the last Lions game away while the Chiefs pressured Goff nonstop without Chris Jones on the field. The Lions, on paper, have an outstanding offensive line and are flush with great weapons. They have a lot of talent on defense, but the entire scheme was prefaced with Hutch being a game-wrecker. |
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10-29-2024, 12:10 PM | #54 | |
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Quote:
Spags loves to blitz immobile QBs.
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10-29-2024, 12:52 PM | #55 | |
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Quote:
On the offensive side, the run game doesn’t worry me. Russell Wilson looks pretty decent and I worry about the deep shots against our depleted secondary. Last edited by ThaVirus; 10-29-2024 at 01:20 PM.. |
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10-29-2024, 12:59 PM | #56 |
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We've handled Watt fine before.
We will again.
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10-29-2024, 01:21 PM | #57 |
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Yeah, we most likely will..
I’m just saying, they’re my AFC dark horse at the moment. |
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10-29-2024, 01:24 PM | #58 |
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Wilson won't look decent against actual good defenses. Not worried about the Steelers at all.
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10-29-2024, 01:24 PM | #59 | |
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Quote:
In fact, with Buffalo's defense being shit, the Steelers seem like a team that could easily take them out.
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10-29-2024, 02:42 PM | #60 |
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No chance the Russ Steelers beat Mahomes and KC.
I'd give the Chiefs an 8/10 chance to beat the Steelers in the playoffs. I'm not even sure it would matter which field we play on. The only thing the Steelers have that can put points on us would be Pickens -- we don't really have anyone who can hang with him. But that OL can't block us, and Spags owns Russ. On the other side of the ball, assuming we sport a January lineup of Kelce/Hopkins/Brown/Worthy/JuJu/Pacheco/Gray, we should be able to put up 24-27 points. |
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