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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Investing megathread extravaganza
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Old 07-24-2020, 07:47 AM   #5731
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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Get ready for the $NAK pump next week.

I think around 2 is a good buy in today.
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Old 07-24-2020, 08:02 AM   #5732
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Nice action on CDEV right now. This ran to 2.40 or so last time.
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Old 07-24-2020, 08:19 AM   #5733
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Anyone jump on PSTH.U SPAC?
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Old 07-24-2020, 12:54 PM   #5734
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Old 07-24-2020, 04:54 PM   #5735
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Originally Posted by DaKCMan AP View Post
Anyone jump on PSTH.U SPAC?
I bought some at lunch yesterday. Ill throw some money I can afford to lose at it. Ackmans had a lot of success but also Valeant so hopefully we get more of "Baby Buffet" than riding a company off a cliff. Pershings been on a real roll lately.

I skimmed part of the prospectus last night. Need to go back and read. Seems like buying now in a multiple of 9 units is optimal for flexibility. As you'll get a full warrant when the units break in 50 days.

I was trying to think what might be on their list to buy. Minority stake in a mature Unicorn

SoFi?
Stripe - this would be amazing but they just took another funding round. 2 years to close a deal though
Airbnb - I'd feel meh but it probably is a value investor type play. It was profitable pre-covid and probably pretty damaged in terms of how big a stake they can get
Palantir - they've flirted with IPO'ing last year

Unless they're going outside the US those seem like top targets. Airbnb seems to make a lot of sense. Pershings made a ton from the activist position it took in Chipotle after the scandal with making people ill from food poisoning
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Old 07-26-2020, 01:56 PM   #5736
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Recent bankruptcies in the retail world.

RTW Retailwinds (July 13)
Muji USA (July 10)
Sur La Table (July 8)
Brooks Brothers (July 8)
G-Straw Raw (July 3)
Lucky Brand (July 3)
GNC (June 23)
Tuesday Morning (May 27)
Centric Brands (May 18)
J.C. Penney (May 15)
Stage Stores (May 11)
Aldo (May 7)
Neiman Marcus (May 7)
J. Crew (May 4)
Roots USA (April 29)
True Religion (April 13)
Modell's Sporting Goods (March 11)
Art Van Furniture (March 9)
Bluestem Brands (March 9)
Pier 1 (Feb 17).
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Old 07-26-2020, 02:03 PM   #5737
Stewie Stewie is offline
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Some interesting market changes in the last week.


The broad market became bearish on Friday. The analysis (from a highly respected group that is all about numbers and not emotion) is based on several factors, the most heavily weighted are corporate earnings.


The Fed balance sheet will move from it's current $5+ trillion to an estimated $9-12 trillion by the end of the year. Completely unprecedented. Printing money to cover paychecks and loans to individuals and companies.


Consuelo Mack had an interesting guest on her show Wealth Track today. It's an interview with the best bond investor in the last 35 years, Tom Atteberry. Quite interesting. Interview here if interested:


https://wealthtrack.com/safe-haven-i...tom-atteberry/


His only recommendation is to buy a house or other safe haven assets.
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Old 07-26-2020, 02:07 PM   #5738
Stewie Stewie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
Recent bankruptcies in the retail world.

RTW Retailwinds (July 13)
Muji USA (July 10)
Sur La Table (July 8)
Brooks Brothers (July 8)
G-Straw Raw (July 3)
Lucky Brand (July 3)
GNC (June 23)
Tuesday Morning (May 27)
Centric Brands (May 18)
J.C. Penney (May 15)
Stage Stores (May 11)
Aldo (May 7)
Neiman Marcus (May 7)
J. Crew (May 4)
Roots USA (April 29)
True Religion (April 13)
Modell's Sporting Goods (March 11)
Art Van Furniture (March 9)
Bluestem Brands (March 9)
Pier 1 (Feb 17).

I worked for Tuesday Morning in high school. It was kind of like a garage sale in a retail establishment. I'm surprised it lasted this long.
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Old 07-26-2020, 02:10 PM   #5739
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I worked for Tuesday Morning in high school. It was kind of like a garage sale in a retail establishment. I'm surprised it lasted this long.
That's a great description. I've only been in it one time, when I was Christmas shopping and just browsing around many years ago. That is exactly the impression I had of the place.
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Old 07-26-2020, 04:26 PM   #5740
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
Recent bankruptcies in the retail world.

RTW Retailwinds (July 13)
Muji USA (July 10)
Sur La Table (July 8)
Brooks Brothers (July 8)
G-Straw Raw (July 3)
Lucky Brand (July 3)
GNC (June 23)
Tuesday Morning (May 27)
Centric Brands (May 18)
J.C. Penney (May 15)
Stage Stores (May 11)
Aldo (May 7)
Neiman Marcus (May 7)
J. Crew (May 4)
Roots USA (April 29)
True Religion (April 13)
Modell's Sporting Goods (March 11)
Art Van Furniture (March 9)
Bluestem Brands (March 9)
Pier 1 (Feb 17).
Woof
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Old 07-26-2020, 05:08 PM   #5741
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Originally Posted by Stewie View Post
Some interesting market changes in the last week.


The broad market became bearish on Friday. The analysis (from a highly respected group that is all about numbers and not emotion) is based on several factors, the most heavily weighted are corporate earnings.


The Fed balance sheet will move from it's current $5+ trillion to an estimated $9-12 trillion by the end of the year. Completely unprecedented. Printing money to cover paychecks and loans to individuals and companies.


Consuelo Mack had an interesting guest on her show Wealth Track today. It's an interview with the best bond investor in the last 35 years, Tom Atteberry. Quite interesting. Interview here if interested:


https://wealthtrack.com/safe-haven-i...tom-atteberry/


His only recommendation is to buy a house or other safe haven assets.

I often worry any time I see a trend of people who start to agree with my line of thought. I recently took some healthy profits and bought a house and am working on taking the rest of the profits for another. Even inquired about a third borderline shit hole today. I've also been hearing a lot of "gold" talk lately. In my case, I felt like the houses were a hedge agains the election results.

If everyone starts hedging against the apparent unknown, I'm now wondering what the next move needs to be.
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Old 07-26-2020, 05:21 PM   #5742
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stewie View Post
Some interesting market changes in the last week.


The broad market became bearish on Friday. The analysis (from a highly respected group that is all about numbers and not emotion) is based on several factors, the most heavily weighted are corporate earnings.


The Fed balance sheet will move from it's current $5+ trillion to an estimated $9-12 trillion by the end of the year. Completely unprecedented. Printing money to cover paychecks and loans to individuals and companies.


Consuelo Mack had an interesting guest on her show Wealth Track today. It's an interview with the best bond investor in the last 35 years, Tom Atteberry. Quite interesting. Interview here if interested:


https://wealthtrack.com/safe-haven-i...tom-atteberry/


His only recommendation is to buy a house or other safe haven assets.
The housing market is on a huge bubble imo- prices don't support value in the KC area. If Biden wins- this economy will tank and those who have been overpaying will be stuck for years.

Buy wisely.
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Old 07-26-2020, 05:41 PM   #5743
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I often worry any time I see a trend of people who start to agree with my line of thought. I recently took some healthy profits and bought a house and am working on taking the rest of the profits for another. Even inquired about a third borderline shit hole today. I've also been hearing a lot of "gold" talk lately. In my case, I felt like the houses were a hedge agains the election results.

If everyone starts hedging against the apparent unknown, I'm now wondering what the next move needs to be.
It isn’t gold.
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Old 07-26-2020, 05:59 PM   #5744
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I'm just passing information from people that analyze markets for a living. Not selling anything, not pumping anything.


What is your strategy when the Fed balance sheet is -$10 TRILLION?
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Old 07-26-2020, 06:42 PM   #5745
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Just FYI the sentiment indicators and insider trading are not good at the moment. Too much euphoria and insiders are selling.
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