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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Old 03-23-2020, 06:29 AM   #4186
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Welp, Fed just announced unlimited QE.

So that’ll ruin my morning.
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Old 03-23-2020, 11:19 AM   #4187
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is online now
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RTTR just jumped 43%

Might be something to watch.
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Old 03-23-2020, 01:36 PM   #4188
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Old 03-23-2020, 01:45 PM   #4189
scho63 scho63 is offline
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If anyone has a list of stocks or limit orders to BUY stocks in this market, your best best is to sell NAKED PUTS on that stock instead and collect the huge overpriced premiums due to the volatility.

I'm seeing option prices 5-15x overpriced.

If you like DISNEY as an example, the stock is around $84.75 right now.

The $80 strike price put for expiration this Friday is $2.75.

So you would collect $2.75 or $275 for 1 PUT and if Disney drops enough your net cost would be $80-$2.75 or $77.75

That's $7 less than today and a big move needed from these low levels.
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:03 PM   #4190
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:48 PM   #4191
Buehler445 Buehler445 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scho63 View Post
If anyone has a list of stocks or limit orders to BUY stocks in this market, your best best is to sell NAKED PUTS on that stock instead and collect the huge overpriced premiums due to the volatility.

I'm seeing option prices 5-15x overpriced.

If you like DISNEY as an example, the stock is around $84.75 right now.

The $80 strike price put for expiration this Friday is $2.75.

So you would collect $2.75 or $275 for 1 PUT and if Disney drops enough your net cost would be $80-$2.75 or $77.75

That's $7 less than today and a big move needed from these low levels.
Yeah I can’t imagine what option premiums are doing. Christ.

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Someone just bought 9 Million shares of Ford.
LOL. Is that big enough they have to do an SEC filing?
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:52 PM   #4192
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Wheat is moving up pretty hard. I don’t know what the market is trading on, but if you’re tired of beating your head against the wall on stocks, a contract or two (or call if you’d rather) might suit you a little better.

I spread my hedges last week, so I’m in (or out of my hedges).
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:55 PM   #4193
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Yeah I can’t imagine what option premiums are doing. Christ.
It has been wild.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:14 PM   #4194
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Bad news

Quote:
We're pretty close to printing the worst month in US stocks back to 1900, which was -30% in 1931.

Most of the top 10 worst stock months( > -16%) were in the 1930s, with a little 1987 and 2008 sprinkled in.

What happens next?
Good news

Quote:
12-month future returns after the 10 & 20 worst months are 29% and 15%, not bad!
Except that one time

Quote:
But not guaranteed, there was a -64% in there too, ouch!
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:24 PM   #4195
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If the virus goes away tomorrow which stock would skyrocket? Please explain why you think that.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:33 PM   #4196
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:37 PM   #4197
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I have mentioned in here a few times that I have a huge chunk of cash sitting in a savings account. I am going to risk it and invest in some things in the next couple of days I believe. This was money we got from the sale of our house that we were going to use to buy our next house. I just don't believe the risk is greater than the reward at this point. We are doing fine without a house and can sit for a while without it. I think there are several stock that are going to rubber band back after this all clears up which I feel is coming sooner rather than later.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:56 PM   #4198
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If the virus goes away tomorrow which stock would skyrocket? Please explain why you think that.
Airlines and oil would rebound because travel will resume.
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Old 03-23-2020, 05:05 PM   #4199
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If the virus goes away tomorrow which stock would skyrocket? Please explain why you think that.
Well...cruise lines of course. They would skyrocket 1,000 percent to where they were when I bought them. Or most likely 10 percent less than that amount since there's now some awareness of vulnerability.
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Old 03-23-2020, 05:06 PM   #4200
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Well...cruise lines of course. They would skyrocket 1,000 percent to where they were when I bought them. Or most likely 10 percent less than that amount since there's now some awareness of vulnerability.
People are going to think twice about cruises for a while.

I honestly don't understand why all the Noro outbreaks didn't really do any damage.
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