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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Old 03-22-2020, 04:35 PM   #4141
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Old 03-22-2020, 04:49 PM   #4142
RunKC RunKC is online now
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I know this is against liberty and all, but would it really be a bad thing to just shut down the exchange and all trading for the foreseeable future?

I really think there is a decent chance that this lowers the Dow below 10,000
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Old 03-22-2020, 05:28 PM   #4143
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Originally Posted by RunKC View Post
I know this is against liberty and all, but would it really be a bad thing to just shut down the exchange and all trading for the foreseeable future?

I really think there is a decent chance that this lowers the Dow below 10,000
Um what?

I’m not rooting for market decline but I’ll gladly average down in my 401k for money I’m not touching for another 30 years.
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Old 03-22-2020, 07:20 PM   #4144
Strongside Strongside is offline
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Futures are limit down.

Like I’ve said for the past few weeks, buy your puts a few mins before close on Friday, cash out at open on Monday.

If stimulus package passes on Monday, but calls to sell on Wednesday, puts for Thursday (unemployment numbers out).

I bought 10 SPY puts at peak green on Friday when premiums were cheap - should double or even triple my money tomorrow.

It’s sad, but it’s easy money right now.
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Old 03-22-2020, 10:24 PM   #4145
scho63 scho63 is offline
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Took 10 days, hah. Tough times ahead for many of us.
I bought a lot of these in my life thinking I found the bottom only to realize I am not as smart as I think.
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Old 03-23-2020, 06:29 AM   #4146
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Welp, Fed just announced unlimited QE.

So that’ll ruin my morning.
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Old 03-23-2020, 11:19 AM   #4147
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RTTR just jumped 43%

Might be something to watch.
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Old 03-23-2020, 01:36 PM   #4148
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Old 03-23-2020, 01:45 PM   #4149
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If anyone has a list of stocks or limit orders to BUY stocks in this market, your best best is to sell NAKED PUTS on that stock instead and collect the huge overpriced premiums due to the volatility.

I'm seeing option prices 5-15x overpriced.

If you like DISNEY as an example, the stock is around $84.75 right now.

The $80 strike price put for expiration this Friday is $2.75.

So you would collect $2.75 or $275 for 1 PUT and if Disney drops enough your net cost would be $80-$2.75 or $77.75

That's $7 less than today and a big move needed from these low levels.
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:03 PM   #4150
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Someone just bought 9 Million shares of Ford.
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:48 PM   #4151
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Originally Posted by scho63 View Post
If anyone has a list of stocks or limit orders to BUY stocks in this market, your best best is to sell NAKED PUTS on that stock instead and collect the huge overpriced premiums due to the volatility.

I'm seeing option prices 5-15x overpriced.

If you like DISNEY as an example, the stock is around $84.75 right now.

The $80 strike price put for expiration this Friday is $2.75.

So you would collect $2.75 or $275 for 1 PUT and if Disney drops enough your net cost would be $80-$2.75 or $77.75

That's $7 less than today and a big move needed from these low levels.
Yeah I can’t imagine what option premiums are doing. Christ.

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Someone just bought 9 Million shares of Ford.
LOL. Is that big enough they have to do an SEC filing?
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:52 PM   #4152
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Wheat is moving up pretty hard. I don’t know what the market is trading on, but if you’re tired of beating your head against the wall on stocks, a contract or two (or call if you’d rather) might suit you a little better.

I spread my hedges last week, so I’m in (or out of my hedges).
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Old 03-23-2020, 02:55 PM   #4153
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Yeah I can’t imagine what option premiums are doing. Christ.
It has been wild.
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:14 PM   #4154
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Bad news

Quote:
We're pretty close to printing the worst month in US stocks back to 1900, which was -30% in 1931.

Most of the top 10 worst stock months( > -16%) were in the 1930s, with a little 1987 and 2008 sprinkled in.

What happens next?
Good news

Quote:
12-month future returns after the 10 & 20 worst months are 29% and 15%, not bad!
Except that one time

Quote:
But not guaranteed, there was a -64% in there too, ouch!
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Old 03-23-2020, 04:24 PM   #4155
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If the virus goes away tomorrow which stock would skyrocket? Please explain why you think that.
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