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09-13-2022, 04:24 PM | #196 |
In Search of a Life
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BWillie, top 3 dumbass on the board, defending a dumbass coach.
Shocking! |
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09-13-2022, 04:28 PM | #197 | |
MVP
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09-13-2022, 04:29 PM | #198 |
GDT white noise poster
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We're going to make orphans of their children
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09-13-2022, 04:30 PM | #199 |
Andy Reid Supporter
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One of the few teams I’m worried about. Herbert is legit and Bosa/Mack look like an elite pass rushing duo.
Brown Jr needs to earn his money in this one
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Mike Greenberg@Espngreeny I can’t fathom what it must be like to be a fan of the #Chiefs. Adopt a Chief: Jared Wiley |
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09-13-2022, 04:32 PM | #200 | |
The End of All Your Dreams
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Quote:
Imagine I had QQ and got it all in preflop vs AK. I'm a very slight favorite. Over the course of 20 hands I could run bad. I could lose 16 out of 20. If I change my future strategy due to statistical nuance, I would be making a bad decision. A feel based decison not sound in logic. Furthermore, aggressive play calling on 4th down and in general benefits teams who perform well offensively...and also benefit when playing another very efficient team. If you are playing the Bears or something, you can probably dial it down. These things can all be accounted for in a win probability analysis. Last edited by BWillie; 09-13-2022 at 04:38 PM.. |
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09-13-2022, 04:36 PM | #201 |
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Derwin James is awesome as well. Chargers roster is pretty dang loaded. I hope the Chiefs will bring a very sharp game to the table.
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09-13-2022, 04:37 PM | #202 |
The End of All Your Dreams
Join Date: Apr 2006
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The majority of the population really really struggles with this as well. They think because something happened, it will happen that way again. That is not always the case, and when we have a plethora of historical information we can determine the best decision to make. The margins may be slim. The expected win probability for one decison vs the other may be small. For example, you may be ****ed either way. If you punt in tbe 4th quarter, you may have a 10% chance to win the game but you have a greater chance to not lose by as much. But if you go for it you may have a 13% chance to win the game but a greater chance to lose by a large amount. The goal is to win the game.
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09-13-2022, 04:40 PM | #203 |
MVP
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Mahomes isn't about to let Justin Sherbet derail Operation Scorched Earth in his own house.
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09-13-2022, 04:54 PM | #204 |
Veteran
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Its gonna be a bloody claw hammer fight Thursday
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09-13-2022, 05:07 PM | #205 | |
In Search of a Life
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09-13-2022, 05:10 PM | #206 | |
In Search of a Life
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Quote:
I was thinking Chiefs by 10 points-- but this might end up being another blowout game. Our defense is much faster and our Oline will neutralize their pass rush. Chargers will be knocked back to 2nd place and will stay there the rest of the year. |
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09-13-2022, 05:14 PM | #207 |
Choco Favre
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We are not losing our home opener.
Ain't no way. |
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09-13-2022, 05:14 PM | #208 |
The End of All Your Dreams
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09-13-2022, 05:44 PM | #209 |
I Like The Kansas City Chiefs
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Do you like the Chiefs?
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My 2024 Adopt a Chief: Leo Chenal Holy Hat! |
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09-13-2022, 05:59 PM | #210 |
**** you, you cretin.
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Attendance Chief record 11-9 |
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