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Old 11-28-2016, 01:25 PM  
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NYT Playoff Simulator is up for 2016
I don't know about you guys, but I loved this thing last year. It's similar to cdcox's old forecasting software and is lots of fun for seeing how our chances at the playoffs shift in various scenarios.

League-wide view:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f-picture.html

Chiefs view:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...f-picture.html
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Old 12-10-2016, 08:34 PM   #61
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I think they lose Monday night against Baltimore. They're without Gronk and now Martellus Bennett.

Belichick has traded away his two best defensive players, they've struggled to beat the Jets and have only beaten 2 teams with a winning record this year.

Their last quality win was 6 weeks ago against the Steelers, who were without Rothlisberger, so I'm not even sure that counts as a quality win.
Bennett is going to play. May not be 100%.
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Old 12-10-2016, 08:39 PM   #62
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It's looking like 2 of 3 should lock up the division and the 2 seed.

It would be nice to win the next 2 and give some guys 2 weeks off
Whoever wins the AFC Westis almost guaranteed a first round bye. The Pats have to play three teams still playing for something so not out of the realm of possibility that they drop two. Not likely, but possible.
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Old 12-10-2016, 09:17 PM   #63
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I think the Patriots are vulnerable in 3 of their last 4 games:

Baltimore
At Denver
At Miami

The Jets just look dead. I suppose it's their Super Bowl but they're terrible.

The Broncos, by virtue of their defense, are a real threat to beat the Pats.
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Old 12-10-2016, 09:53 PM   #64
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Why does the NYT thing say that now that we have beaten the Raiders they have a better chance of winning the division and getting the bye?

If I had known that would happen I would have been rooting for the Raiders to win.
Smasher was he will be cheering denver tomorrow
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Old 12-10-2016, 09:58 PM   #65
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I think the Patriots are vulnerable in 3 of their last 4 games:

Baltimore
At Denver
At Miami

The Jets just look dead. I suppose it's their Super Bowl but they're terrible.

The Broncos, by virtue of their defense, are a real threat to beat the Pats.
Jets didn't even care on mnf. Maybe petty could give them energy but I doubt they even put up a fight.
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Old 12-18-2016, 04:34 PM   #66
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According to this nifty thing, we've still got a 40% chance of winning the 2 seed and 31% chance at the 5 seed. Only 5% chance of missing the playoffs entirely.

Relax.
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Old 12-18-2016, 04:44 PM   #67
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So, if the Raiders lose, we remain in the #2 spot?

We might as well root for Denver to lose as well then.
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Old 12-18-2016, 04:45 PM   #68
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So, if the Raiders lose, we remain in the #2 spot?

We might as well root for Denver to lose as well then.
Yes. And yes. If we concede that we're not getting the #1 pick, we want the Broncos to lose.
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Old 12-18-2016, 04:48 PM   #69
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Yes. And yes. If we concede that we're not getting the #1 pick, we want the Broncos to lose.
I'll concede that just so that I can cheer for them to lose.
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Old 12-18-2016, 04:51 PM   #70
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Shoot I don't need a playoff simulator. I know what's gonna happen. A road playoff loss in Baltimore or Pittsburgh.
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Old 12-18-2016, 04:52 PM   #71
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Yes. And yes. If we concede that we're not getting the #1 pick, we want the Broncos to lose.
We CANNOT win the #1 seed anymore unless NE lost all three and we win last two

Not going to happen
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Old 12-18-2016, 05:26 PM   #72
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Old 12-18-2016, 06:33 PM   #73
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If I'm reading everything correctly, the Chiefs will clinch if:

The Chiefs win ANY game (vs Broncos or @ Chargers)
The Ravens lose ANY game (@ Steelers or @ Bengals)
The Steelers lose to the Browns (ha!)
The Dolphins lose BOTH games (@ Bills and vs. Patriots)
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Old 12-18-2016, 06:35 PM   #74
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It's pretty simple for the division. Now that the Raiders have won, we need to have a BETTER record than them through the final two games. If they lose one, we need to win both. If they lose both (unlikely), we have to win one.
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Old 12-18-2016, 06:40 PM   #75
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Oh, and in terms of raw percentages, it gives us a 98% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 27% chance of getting a bye at this point.
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