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Old 07-08-2010, 08:18 PM  
KcMizzou KcMizzou is offline
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***The Official MMA Thread***
Excited about an upcoming fight? Want to make predictions, or just give people a heads-up that there are some fights on? We can do it here.

(Also a good place to complain, dicuss, and agrue about the outcomes)
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Old 11-11-2015, 10:57 PM   #4981
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uhhh.... wow. OK, here's a gambling tip. I was looking through the odds to see if anything in this weekend's fights looked interesting, but **** UFC 193.

Jose Aldo is the underdog in UFC 194. You can get +150 by betting on him on bovada. Is it possible that he could lose? Sure, but this is God Damn ridiculous, people have drunk the Conor McGregor Kool-Aid in a big way, and I can't imagine the odds moving further away from Aldo. I think once the smart money shifts away from November, looks at December, and sees this idiotic line, they'll be all over it and bet Aldo hard.

Again, this isn't a lock or anything, but this is a very severe pricing anomaly driven by really stupid Irish homer money. If you have a gambling stake you can afford to lose, you are getting an incredible deal on Jose Aldo right now.

edit: just put my money in. If Conor wins fine, then I guess I lose, but I bet $200 to.... lol.... win $300 if Jose freaking Aldo wins.


Man I just don't know about this fight. I thought Conor's stand up was elite, but Mendez was able to land some solid shots. However, he did the same to Aldo.

I think Mcgregor has a much better shot to beat Aldo than he does Frankie Edgar. I plan to go big on Edgar if Mcgregor beats Aldo.
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Old 11-11-2015, 11:02 PM   #4982
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Mendes at short notice to me meant it would be a toss up, he wouldn't have a proper camp or notice to prepare for him, neutralizing his presumed grappling advantage.

Now we're talking about scarface, he's only 29, hasn't lost a fight in forever, with almost a full damned year to prepare. I'm expecting a lot of leg kicks, then after Conor's leg is ****ed up, Aldo is going to beat the hell out of him. Conor is talented enough that I could be wrong, Conor has a wicked left so I wouldn't touch it if Aldo was a -200 favorite, but Aldo at a +150 underdog looks completely absurd. I can afford to risk some money on that dumb line.
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Old 11-11-2015, 11:10 PM   #4983
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Mendes at short notice to me meant it would be a toss up, he wouldn't have a proper camp or notice to prepare for him, neutralizing his presumed grappling advantage.

Now we're talking about scarface, he's only 29, hasn't lost a fight in forever, with almost a full damned year to prepare. I'm expecting a lot of leg kicks, then after Conor's leg is ****ed up, Aldo is going to beat the hell out of him. Conor is talented enough that I could be wrong, Conor has a wicked left so I wouldn't touch it if Aldo was a -200 favorite, but Aldo at a +150 underdog looks completely absurd. I can afford to risk some money on that dumb line.

I'm very surprised Aldo is a dog. I agree with you here, those are great odds. Aldo's leg kicks could immobilize Conor. If Conor is unable to move in round 3, then he's screwed.

I can't ****ing wait. The last fight I was this excited for was GSP/Penn in 09.
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Old 11-11-2015, 11:27 PM   #4984
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I'm very surprised Aldo is a dog. I agree with you here, those are great odds. Aldo's leg kicks could immobilize Conor. If Conor is unable to move in round 3, then he's screwed.

I can't ****ing wait. The last fight I was this excited for was GSP/Penn in 09.
Yeah, again, this is not a "bet your mortgage" line. This is strictly a discretionary income "I can afford to lose every penny of this" situation, but given that, holy cow that bet looks great to me. I haven't been this confident since I bet $250 on the over in 2014 for Royals @ 79.5 wins.
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Old 11-12-2015, 12:16 AM   #4985
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Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
uhhh.... wow. OK, here's a gambling tip. I was looking through the odds to see if anything in this weekend's fights looked interesting, but **** UFC 193.

Jose Aldo is the underdog in UFC 194. You can get +150 by betting on him on bovada. Is it possible that he could lose? Sure, but this is God Damn ridiculous, people have drunk the Conor McGregor Kool-Aid in a big way, and I can't imagine the odds moving further away from Aldo. I think once the smart money shifts away from November, looks at December, and sees this idiotic line, they'll be all over it and bet Aldo hard.

Again, this isn't a lock or anything, but this is a very severe pricing anomaly driven by really stupid Irish homer money. If you have a gambling stake you can afford to lose, you are getting an incredible deal on Jose Aldo right now.

edit: just put my money in. If Conor wins fine, then I guess I lose, but I bet $200 to.... lol.... win $300 if Jose freaking Aldo wins.
That's craaaazy. I might have to create an account.
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Old 11-12-2015, 04:53 AM   #4986
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Mendes at short notice to me meant it would be a toss up, he wouldn't have a proper camp or notice to prepare for him, neutralizing his presumed grappling advantage.

Now we're talking about scarface, he's only 29, hasn't lost a fight in forever, with almost a full damned year to prepare. I'm expecting a lot of leg kicks, then after Conor's leg is ****ed up, Aldo is going to beat the hell out of him. Conor is talented enough that I could be wrong, Conor has a wicked left so I wouldn't touch it if Aldo was a -200 favorite, but Aldo at a +150 underdog looks completely absurd. I can afford to risk some money on that dumb line.
Saw your post and laid my $200, daddy needs a new pair of shoes!
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Old 11-12-2015, 09:58 PM   #4987
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They had the first staredowns for 193 today, Ronda and Holm was a civilized affair ended with a handshake, which is not unexpected because Ronda actually likes and respects Holm.

Once again, Joanna was gangster at her first staredown. Valerie did ratchet it up and set the tone though by aggressively getting in her face right away, said something, and then according to Dana, Joanna said "this is your last fight, bitch", to which Valerie responded with a "**** Off"
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Old 11-12-2015, 10:01 PM   #4988
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Saw your post and laid my $200, daddy needs a new pair of shoes!
I hope it was discretionary gambling money, because Conor could win! But yeah, this is just a great, fantastic line to bet on.
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Old 11-13-2015, 02:38 AM   #4989
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I hope it was discretionary gambling money, because Conor could win! But yeah, this is just a great, fantastic line to bet on.

Al we will follow you.

Put some money on Aldo on my 5dimes account.
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Old 11-13-2015, 05:48 AM   #4990
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I hope it was discretionary gambling money, because Conor could win! But yeah, this is just a great, fantastic line to bet on.
Of course it was, my kids need to skip a few meals anyway
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Old 11-13-2015, 09:48 AM   #4991
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Anyone going to put some money on Holm to beat Rousey?
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Old 11-13-2015, 10:03 AM   #4992
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Anyone going to put some money on Holm to beat Rousey?
No, not even at 50/1
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Old 11-13-2015, 10:12 AM   #4993
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http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/...aroni-3096983/

Found this thread over on Sherdog...what a time to be a fan, PRIDE was just nutty as hell lol...

Anyone else remember this?
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Old 11-13-2015, 10:15 AM   #4994
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I loved PRIDE. Loved the introductions at the beginning of the shows, the entrances, the team feuds and the fight formats. I personally couldn't care less if fighters are juiced to the gills either.
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Old 11-13-2015, 10:47 AM   #4995
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Anyone going to put some money on Holm to beat Rousey?
The line would have to be +100,000 before I'd even consider it.
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