Breaking down the "pressures" film.

[Direckshun]

(I think this justifies its own thread -- it not, mods can combine them.)

In another thread, this was posted:

Here are the cutups of the plays where Patrick Mahomes was listed as pressured. #Chiefs #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/nmJWOrom9T

— Nick Jacobs (@Jacobs71) November 19, 2024

Okay, watching the entirety of the tape, here's what happens and who I blame each play.

Spoiler!

Play 1: 0:00 of the video

The OL holds decent protection, but the play is a high/low design with tight ends, which will require an additional beat to get to. The high/low works, Gray is wide open as the second level swarms Kelce, but by then Pat is bailing on the pocket. Maybe Nagy shouldn't be dialing up slow-developing plays while the OL is struggling.

Pat is facing light pressure from Epenesa off Morris, and Trey is getting walked into Mahomes' lap by DaQuan Jones. But it's a pocket he can hang in. God awful throw by Pat as he scrambles out of the pocket, interception.

Entertainingly, a DE tries to lay it on Smith on the interception return. Smith bodyslams him, prompting a tussle.

Primary blame: Mahomes
Secondary: Smith, Nagy

Play 2: 0:28

Yeesh. The Chiefs leave in seven to protect and the Bills still get pressure with 4.

Hunt and Gray block Rousseau off the RT side as protection slides to the left. Worthy and Kelce are the only two who run routes but are swarmed. Hardman runs a wide open route to the flat. Pat makes the right read on the play but Epenesa stays in the passing lane and screws up the play, incomplete.

This was mostly a heady play by Epenesa, but Morris/Thuney should have done more to block him out of the lane. But the biggest problem was an enormous miscommunication by Taylor/Smith on doubling Ed Oliver. Smith starts bailing out of the double team to help Creed, which Taylor wasn't expecting. Oliver splits them and hits Mahomes on the play.

Primary blame: Smith/Taylor
Secondary: Morris/Thuney

Play 3: 0:44

No one gets open. The Bills have every receiver covered very tightly. Mahomes hangs in the pocket, which has pretty good integrity until it starts to collapse. He attempts to buy time by scrambling to the flat and gets sacked. Bills rushed four with a LB spy.

Rousseau did get a quick-ish pressure across Morris' face, but Morris recovered and pancaked him. That did flush Mahomes however, who was wrangled by the spy.

Primary blame: the receivers
Secondary: Morris

Play 4: 1:06

Pat hangs in the pocket with penetration, and passes on an easy checkdown to Gray to kill a fantastic strike to Worthy down the field.

Morris gets help from a Gray chip, and Taylor shuts down a blitzer. Smith/Humphrey do great work against a stunt, Humphrey especially. Thuney does give up the pressure against Oliver in a 1-on-1, but it wasn't a fast pressure, and the play to Worthy was slow-developing.

Primary blame: maybe Nagy, for the slow developing play?
Secondary: Thuney

Play 5: 1:29

Carson Steele may need to be checked for blindness. Have we ever confirmed that he can actually see?

The Chiefs correctly spotted a blitz, as the Bills send six. The Chiefs left in seven to block. Steele was even assigned to slide to the unblocked DE (Rousseau), but didn't see him at all, instead opting to double a blitzer with Taylor. It is a ghastly error, Mahomes is immediately in trouble, and no WR is open yet because the play starts.

If that play can last one tick longer, which is probably what they had designed, JJSS is available for a drag route. Mahomes throws it away.

Primary blame: Steele
Secondary blame: no one

Play 6: 1:46

This was a beautiful, beautiful passrush from the Bills. They fake a blitz, but a LB stays as a spy and the DB peels off with JJSS, who takes a moment to realize it's not a blitz. The fake blitz is particularly devastating to Perine, who stayed in to help against it, and once he realizes he needs to leak out for Mahomes, it's too late.

Mahomes' drop may be the biggest issue here, as it's 11 yards deep -- I cannot fathom the Chiefs planned on an 11 yard drop? Morris sets for shallower, and Rousseau blasts past him. Meanwhile, Von Miller is putting the heat on Taylor and Oliver is owning Smith.

I just think the primary blame here is on the Bills for proplerly confusing the Chiefs.

Primary blame: Mahomes
Secondary blame: Morris, Taylor, Smith, Perine

Play 7: 2:09

This play had promise in several spots downfield, but an immediate pressure from Oliver up the gut blew it up. Mahomes has to scramble the sideline and make a great play, hitting Hendershot for a nice grab.

The Bills rush four, and it looks decent across the board with one massive exception: Smith gets manhandled by Oliver. Hunt even smartly chips Oliver as he busts through but it doesn't slow him down. Humphrey looks like he was supposed to double Oliver but gets there late -- maybe Smith was counting on him to be there, but it does just look like he lost the rep.

Primary blame: Smith
Secondary: Humphrey

Play 8: 2:31

This doesn't look like Mahomes was pressured at all. Not sure why this play was included.

Primary blame: no one
Secondary blame: no one

Play 9: 2:51

No one gets open. The Chiefs send out five receivers, and not a single one wins their rep, everyone blanketed by the Bills. The pocket looks like it has nice integrity, though Rousseau does get a slow-developing pressure on a stunt that Smith was slow to react to.

Mahomes rolls out and tries a shot to Hopkins, to no avail. Had Mahomes hung on for one additional moment, he did have a couple linebackers coming up on him, and could have hit Hendershot behind them.

Primary blame: the receivers
Secondary blame: Smith, Mahomes

Play 10: 3:13

Most of the receivers are covered, but the Chiefs kept in JJSS to block along with Gray. Gray splits out early (covered), JJSS splits out reeeeeally late (open, but Pat is scrambling).

There is some pressure up the gut eventually by Rousseau, but the Chiefs protection recovers. Pat scrambles out to the flats when there was no pressure for him to worry about. He also could have hit Hunt early in the play in the flat if nothing was there, or somehow found JJSS once he did eventually peel out. Instead he attempts to make a DT miss, and throws it away.

This is an odd play design by Nagy that asks Gray, Thuney (from the other side of the line) and JJSS to all block Rousseau at various times. It doesn't work initially, as Rousseau does move Pat off his spot, but it is eventually recovered.

Primary blame: Mahomes
Secondary blame: Nagy, the receivers

Play 11: 3:35

This is a great play by Mahomes that leads to a TD -- the receivers are initially blanketed, but by buying time, Mahomes allows Gray to find some daylight in the back corner, and hits him for the score.

The pocket is pretty good, had he hung in there. The pressure comes from Rousseau, who was to be left unblocked by design? Kelce gives Rousseau a healthy chip at the start, but Kelce's probably your best redzone threat, so what's going on here?

Hopkins is starting to come open towards the end of the play had Pat hung in there.

Primary blame: Nagy
Secondary blame: Mahomes, the receivers

Play 12: 3:56

Mahomes needs to be more decisive here. The Chiefs run three deep-ish routes, and the Bills have them outnumbered and covered. Sadly the best route the Chiefs have available on this play is a one-on-one that Worthy gets, but Worthy doesn't win. But with all the DBs dropping deep, Mahomes needs to make the early outlet pass to Gray, who is in the flat and has a little bit of green in front of him.

It doesn't help that Von Miller is pushing Taylor back. Rousseau also initially gets the better of Morris, but with Thuney's help, Morris recovers.

Mahomes does the best he can to buy time after missing Gray and scrambles around with a desperate, failed pass to Perine.

Primary blame: Mahomes
Secondary blame: Taylor, the receivers

Play 13: 4:18

The Chiefs are in desperation mode and trying to eat up yardage, which is somewhat skewing this play. Normally, I would fault Mahomes here for not taking the easier, shallower yardage in unmarked players, but he's trying to get chunk plays here, so I don't blame him for hanging in.

The pressure isn't even bad this play -- Von Miller gets across Taylor's face, but Taylor recovers. The Bills are doing a good job in coverage and the WRs aren't getting open. Nagy makes a questionable decision here, putting Hopkins on a mere go route.

Primary blame: the receivers
Secondary blame: Nagy, Taylor

Conclusions:

There are 13 plays here, but one of them is not a pressure, so there's 12 plays.

Mahomes either has the primary or secondary blame on exactly half of them. It is mostly him not hanging in the pocket when he could have -- once was for an absurd 11 yard dropback that his OL was not ready to protect against.

In the other thread, there was much ballyhooing about Trey Smith -- this seems justified. Smith was the primary or secondary blame-ee on five of the plays.

Not enough was made of this in the other thread, but the receivers share plenty of blame in this. Five of the plays became pressures because the WRs could not get open.

Anything involving bad play design I just put on Matt Nagy, for simplicity's sake. Nagy had a few boneheaded decisions, a couple times dialing up slow-development plays when the Bills are putting tons of heat on Mahomes, and a couple times dialing up weird protection schemes.

Steele made such a catastrophic error on one play, he may not even get a snap against Carolina.

Here's a surprise: Wanya Morris contributed to some of these issues in a secondary way, but not once in those 13 snaps did I view him as the primary reason the play collapsed. Not once!

[KCUnited]

We’re having the “this guy doesn’t belong on an NFL roster”, “ these lineman have Regressed!” and “what’s wrong with Pat?!” conversations at the same time

I know it’s cold out most places but maybe touch some grass this week, folks

[Bl00dyBizkitz]

Originally Posted by KCUnited

We’re having the “this guy doesn’t belong on an NFL roster”, “ these lineman have Regressed!” and “what’s wrong with Pat?!” conversations at the same time

I know it’s cold out most places but maybe touch some grass this week, folks

1. Mahomes is having his 2nd straight "meh" year when we're used to him being our Football Jesus Christ.
2. The year of the potential three-peat.

Those are the two things unique to this season that I think has us flipping the **** out over issues I think most every other team in the league is also dealing with.

[KCUnited]

Originally Posted by Bl00dyBizkitz

1. Mahomes is having his 2nd straight "meh" year when we're used to him being our Football Jesus Christ.
2. The year of the potential three-peat.

Those are the two things unique to this season that I think has us flipping the **** out over issues I think most every other team in the league is also dealing with.

Agree

The crown weighs heavy

[dlphg9]

I keep saying it. Wanya Morris is not the ****ing problem. It just keeps getting said and people don't like him because of last year against the Raiders.

Morris is a perfectly capable LT if the other guys can do there jobs better.

[Sassy Squatch]

Originally Posted by dlphg9

I keep saying it. Wanya Morris is not the ****ing problem. It just keeps getting said and people don't like him because of last year against the Raiders.

Morris is a perfectly capable LT if the other guys can do there jobs better.

Keep saying it if you want. Still on pace to be a bottom tier OT in pressures given up.

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by Sassy Squatch

Keep saying it if you want. Still on pace to be a bottom tier OT in pressures given up.

He's also not wanting a record setting contract. Trey Smith is a huge problem right now.

[Tonka83]

Good breakdown of those plays op. The thing that stands out for me after watching that video, is Kelce. (or lack thereof)
On the plays where he was on the field, he usually had only one guy covering him, was still blanketed, and looked slow. Not having the Kelce of old who always found away to get open, isn't helping Patrick deal with the pressure situations either. I hope I'm wrong, but that really seems to be becoming an issue.

[kcbubb]

Originally Posted by Tonka83

Good breakdown of those plays op.

Agreed. Nice work.

[DJ's left nut]

Part of the issue is that the Bills complementary rush is just WAY better than ours.

If Jones doesn't get home, the rush doesn't do much.

But watch those plays, they have 2 and often 3 guys winning a rep on any given play. The entire line is often giving ground. Smith was a significant culprit, sometimes it was Tylor, more often it was Morris. Sometimes it was communication. Sometimes it was blitz pickup.

There's a play that isn't in here -- the Worthy deep ball. For some bizarre ****ing reason, Creed hits the guy in the A gap then releases to swing out and pick up the DE while Taylor crashes inside to try to execute a reach block on the DT that Creed passes off. It wasn't a stunt or anything, just movement for movement's sake and it made ZERO sense at all. Just have Taylor take the DE and Creed take the DT and that's an easy pitch and catch.

But the bottom line is that the Bills DL just flatly outplayed our OL across the board. Call it effort or desire if you want, but those guys played their asses off.

Ours didn't. Their OL held up. And the instant our guys got sloppy in their rush lanes, Allen took off and made us pay with his legs.

We just got waxed in the trenches.

[TheGuardian]

There's a bunch of plays in there where Ed Oliver just owns Trey. I mean badly.

Rewatching this Trey was a big time issue in this game. He absolutely got worked on a lot of these plays

[Chiefspants]

Are we looking at Mahomes being the root cause? Andy Heck? Total system failure? Did the NFL call it in for us to take the fall?

I was working on my “The Uncomfortable Reality of a Fading Patrick Mahomes” thread but now I’m not sure where to direct my rage.

[TheGuardian]

Originally Posted by Chiefspants

Are we looking at Mahomes being the root cause? Andy Heck? Total system failure? Did the NFL call it in for us to take the fall?

I was working on my “The Uncomfortable Reality of a Fading Patrick Mahomes” thread but now I’m not sure where to direct my rage.

IT looks like both.

Pat breaks several clean pockets when he doesn't need to. Other times it's def the line.

But even times when Morris was fine the interior got shredded.

[KCUnited]

Originally Posted by Chiefspants

Are we looking at Mahomes being the root cause? Andy Heck? Total system failure? Did the NFL call it in for us to take the fall?

I was working on my “The Uncomfortable Reality of a Fading Patrick Mahomes” thread but now I’m not sure where to direct my rage.

All these problems across the board on offense but it seems to be on the individuals and not the...uh nevermind

[duncan_idaho]

I think Smith generally has some problems with Ed Oliver.

Not sure what it is, but Oliver is a small/quick interior DT. I think sometimes those quick dudes really give Trey fits.