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Originally Posted by alnorth
I'm not convinced this is the case. We'll see how they look 6 or 7 years from now. This is all my hunch and opinion, not based on any scientific study. Anyway, my impression is:
Kids in the deep south and FL either stay in the deep south and FL or they want to go far away to CA or something. They don't often go to Texas. Kids in Texas either go to UT/OU, or they go to a Big 12 team with a chip on their shoulder to play against OU/UT. To a much lesser extent, some might grow up wanting to be Aggies, but Texas A&M wont be able to tap into that "I'll show those damned longhorns that they made a mistake" recruiting line anymore, now they play against deep south teams they never cared about, other than maybe Florida.
I wouldn't be surprised if by 2019 or so, Texas A&M sinks into an unremarkable football program. Not necessarily bad like Vandy or Kentucky, but not all that good either.
For all those issues, I do believe Texas A&M has a better chance to succeed in spite of all that than Mizzou, because at least they are in Texas and the pool may still be big enough without the UT rivalry. Missouri relies very heavily on Texas for their success. I don't see how the hell Missouri recruits in Texas if they are not in a conference with Texas, and no one worth a damn from, say Alabama and Mississippi wants to play in Missouri.
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You guys are basically grasping at straws at this point. If they were going to the Big East, that probably would have a lot of merit. But I can't get into the arguments from the other conferences that going to the SEC is going to hurt someone's recruiting. All they have to say is "the SEC sends more players to the NFL than any other conference." Blammo. I'm sure they might lose a kid here and there that really wants to play a lot of games in Texas, but it's not like elite high school kids are going to say "Pssht, I'm too good for the SEC."