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Originally Posted by PastorMikH
Your question intriqued me so I crunched some #s.
LJ has 859 career carries in 4 years (47 games) 4067 yards.
If you just go from the last 2 years, LJ has 719 carries in 2 years (31 games) for 3401 yards
Jim Brown had 2359 carries in 9 years (118 games) 12312 yards
If LJ continues at his career pace, if he reaches 118 games like Borwn, he will have 10210 yards and 2156 carries
However, lookng at the last 2 years, if this is LJ's pace from now on out, he will have 12945 yards and 2736 carries in the 118 games.
Stats tidbit
Brown averaged 20 carries per game, 104.3 yards per game, and 5.21 YPC
LJ averages 23 carries per game, 109.7 yards per game, and 4.73 YPC
LJ is averaging just 3 carries more than Brown, 5 more yards a game and half a yard less in YPC.
LJ's comparison is Jim Brown, he's even alluded to that. If he wants to emulate Brown, this is the pace he will have to keep up for another 5-6 years. It will be difficult, but LJ has shown that he is a tough player. The key is to avoid the serious injuries and keep being productive.
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That's a pretty optimistic analysis since it assumes that LJ will never suffer a significant injury and that he can sustain his current performance level for the next 4.5 years.
Meanwhile, back in reality, LJ's performance dropped off significantly from last year with Willie Roaf to this year without him. Next year or the year after, he will lose Will Shields. Last season, he had what was arguably the best line in football blocking for him. I'd like to think that the Chiefs can rebuild that line and once again make an argument for that distinction, but the odds work against them now that they seem to be placing top focus on improving the defense.