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Old 04-25-2025, 11:11 AM   #661
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Buehler445 View Post
I'm not much of a draft guy, so the opportunity cost of all this I'm pretty murky on.

I'm fairly shocked they took the risk. Part of me thinks we're good enough at WR, QB obviously, Secondary. I don't like the first rounder on a RB (though I'm open to some of these kick ass prospects), LB or IOL (especially with all the IOL we currently have).

I think DE or DT (especially with some of these guys) is probably the better gamble. But I dunno much about the medicals or prospect. But I think I'd be jittery making the call.

So if he works out, it will be a steal of all ****ing steals. But this is definitely a risk. I'd be more than interested to know their risk assessment.
That's probably my greatest concern - perhaps I haven't articulated it well.

There's really not much of a path to a MEH or FAU sort of 'disappointing player for his draft position but still someone who can contribute'

I don't see much of a gap for that kind of outcome. I mean, I guess if he's just healthy but not very good...thats where you land.

But mostly this looks ENTIRELY boom or bust. And damn, that is just so so so rare in the 1st round. Most of the time there's a floor in place that mitigates the risks associated with taking a guy in the top 50 picks or so. The Trey Smiths of the world with no floor to speak of go on day 3.

This sure looks like a 'no floor' player taking where it's just damn rare to see them taken.
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