Quote:
Originally Posted by Deberg_1990
An OT of Simmons potential talent/upside wouldn’t last much longer. The Chiefs we’re right to take him at 32.
|
We know for sure no NFL team outside of KC thought he was worth the risk of a 1st round pick. Not one.
2nd? 3rd? Debatable. Won't ever know.
Could he have fallen way down like Smith did or would he have been the 1st pick of round 2? We can argue that. We do know that no one was willing to trade up from the 2nd round to get ahead of KC for him. So he wasn't worth a 2nd and 4th or 5th to anyone.
I love my wife and I think she's a good person but if tonight she comes home and eats a patch of dog shit I won't say "Well, I love her and she's a good person so I trust her. This should work out." I would think "how does someone I love who's a good human do something so incredibly stupid? What the fug."
I asked Grok:
Quote:
A 2011 study published in the American Journal of Sports Medicine analyzed 24 patellar tendon ruptures in 22 NFL players from 1994 to 2004. It found that 19 of the 24 players (79%) returned to play at least one NFL game, with an average of 45.4 games played post-injury (ranging from 1 to 142 games). Assuming a 16-game regular season (typical during that period), 45.4 games equate to roughly 2.8 seasons. Players who played 80+ games post-injury (approximately five seasons) are likely candidates for your query, but the study doesn’t explicitly list how many reached this threshold. Given the range, at least some of the 19 who returned likely played five or more years, especially those on the higher end (e.g., 142 games).
A 2022 post on X referencing a study claimed 18 of 24 NFL players with patellar tendon tears returned to play, averaging 45.5 games, with one player reaching 142 games. This suggests at least one player, and possibly a few others, played five or more years post-injury.
High-profile cases provide some clarity:
Jimmy Graham (tight end) suffered a patellar tendon rupture in 2015 and played through 2023, totaling eight seasons post-injury.
Victor Cruz (wide receiver) tore his patellar tendon in 2014 but only played one additional season (2016) before retiring, falling short of five years.Carnell “Cadillac” Williams (running back) had patellar tendon tears in 2007 and 2008, played through 2011 (four seasons post-2007 injury), and thus doesn’t meet the five-year mark.Nate Allen (safety) ruptured his patellar tendon in 2010 and played through 2017, totaling seven seasons post-injury.
Challenges in pinpointing an exact number include:
Patellar tendon injuries are rare, with studies noting single-digit annual occurrences in the NFL.
Return-to-play (RTP) rates are low (around 50–79%), and performance often declines, making long-term careers less common.
|
Not a great track record. This is what worries me.