Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Also remember the complaint we've had about Draft Grades for years, though.
They love the picks when they're right.
Draft Grades are nothing more than "How close to MY board were you..."
Gets back to McDuffie getting a C grade because draft twitter thought we'd take Johnson and decided Spags doesn't like smaller corners. It's an exercise in confirmation bias.
And about half of Chiefs Twitter had the nature of his injury wrong. I mean I haven't expected Locked On to get anything right for years - they didn't. Nate Taylor had it COMPLETELY wrong until bout 2-3 weeks ago. But by then, their minds had been made up.
And then it became their exercise in confirmation bias.
So yeah - if they're going to blow by the only concern that those of us opposed to the pick had because they didn't understand WHY we were opposed to the pick...um...okay.
But I think ultimately Reid might have made the point that A) explains why so many draft folks were on this and B) why I'm no less nervous.
They went into the draft with a focus on a single position group in the first round. And nobody expected Campbell, Banks or Membou to fall. Nor were were guys like Ersery first round possibilities (and by all accounts, Jackson is a guard).
So that really did leave them with Conerly and Simmons. So yeah, I suspect they did a shitload of homework on BOTH those guys.
But I do think this is where they've gotten themselves in the most trouble. They did it with Speaks. They did it with Moore. They did it with FAU. Granted, I don't think that's what happened with MEH and that still didn't work out. But the majority of their worst picks have been picks made based on a pre-determined decision to attack a specific position at a specific spot.
When you do that, you're just so very prone to seeing what you wanna see. And I just don't know how folks can be so eager to just dismiss that.
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I am not sure it was totally a decision to attack the position group. I think a number guys were in play. But ultimately the thinking is the 1st round DT DB's we liked are gone, we can get an edge and RB later. Really came down to him or Burden. If he has 15% chance to be back to all pro and never addressing LT as long as Pat's a pro, 35% to give us average LT for 4 years it is worth the pick. Not sure there was a totslly safe pick and definately not a pick with as high upside at a coveted position.
I also believe that post surgery they believe he is doing better then expected. But they know it is a high risk high reward pick.