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I do think we sometimes overestimate the physical development left for some of these guys.
Not all of them (FAU, for example, out of K-State), but when we draft a guy like Worthy out of UT and say "Man, if we can get him in an NFL strength program..." I think we're ignoring just how INSANE the strength programs for these major schools are.
Shit, the weight programs in major high schools now are ridiculous.
As for the 2nd deal, I just don't think age matters a ton. If you're looking at a guy you're thinking about signing who's 24 vs 26, very few of those guys are playing past 3-4 years on that deal anyway. You're still getting most of them through their prime.
Meanwhile if you can get a player who's far more ready to play because he's 23 when you drafted him instead of 21 and you MAXIMIZE that rookie deal, there's a pretty significant benefit to that.
I think it's worth considering, yes. But I think there are times we put far too much into it. We overthink it. There are benefits/drawbacks either way. As such, I could see using it to break a tie (except for maybe on the OL where that 3rd contract is in play given how long those guys can play) but I wouldn't really give it a ton more weight than that. I certainly wouldn't have it in my 'decision lens'.
It's just another factor to me and not a particularly significant one at that.
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"If there's a god, he's laughing at us.....and our football team..."
"When you look at something through rose colored glasses, all the red flags just look like flags."
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