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Old 02-21-2025, 03:11 PM   #1668
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris Meck View Post
Why would a defense honor the run if they know you won't run? This is silly.
They don't honor the run if you don't run at all.

But people overstate the amount of times you have to run in order to get them to honor it. It's more along the lines of 12-15 times/gm.

They also presume a linear relationship that doesn't seem to exist -- i.e. a team that runs the ball 25 times is going to have greater success with play-fakes because teams honor the run MORE than a team that runs it 15 times.

That linear relationship also doesn't appear to exist.

Tendencies matter more than raw numbers. Perhaps that's where we're struggling -- maybe we have obvious tendencies in certain down/distance situations that opposing DCs have picked up on.

But as far as us needing to run the ball more to establish the play action passing game or something like that? Not really - we run it enough based on any real research done on the matter.
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