Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
I've said for a couple years that I think the Chiefs do weird shit just to throw off the math on the tendency breakers.
Nobody's sitting there watching every single down/distance scenario to come up with their tendency figures. They use math. And then they find the scenarios within the math and dig a little deeper.
But if you can 'throw' plays here and there to screw with the math and the spreadsheets these teams are using to try to identify a tendency, it never even gets that kind of deeper dive from coaching staffs.
I still don't know that I think the Chiefs 'save the good plays' but I do think they fudge the tendencies and I think they avoid spamming the shit that works (i.e. Kelce murdering Cover 4).
But all of that still requires execution to take advantage of. And it's been the execution on this offense that has worried me all season. The coaching staff may start to say "damn the torpedoes" and start calling their 'gotta have it' plays more often -- I still just don't know how much I trust this offense to execute.
The execution has just been really really spotty on offense this year. And it seems to coming from different areas in any given game.
Execute and we'll win. But the next game I see from this team where they execute at a high level for 60 minutes will be the first since last year's Super Bowl.
That's where I get nervous.
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For what it's worth, Mahomes plays exceptionally well against the Bills in the playoffs. I know, small sample size, but he does seem to up his game and focus against the Bills. Maybe knowing that Josh Allen is on the other side.
Of course on the flip side, Allen also brings his A-Game against the Chiefs in the postseason.
I just can't envision a blowout either way. Even with a depleted secondary that we "should" be able to exploit, they always seem to keep it close. It's genuinely like they're our 4th division rival.