Quote:
Originally Posted by RedinTexas
You make a couple of unstated assumptions here. First, you assume that if the "stupid rookie" hadn't committed DPI, the receiver would not have caught the ball for a first down.
Second, you assume that if the rookie holder had not fumbled the snap, that the kicker would have made the field goal.
These are some pretty big assumptions. You conclude by saying two plays made the difference, but with those assumptions in place, there is much more than two plays that are the difference.
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I don't think they're that big. I use the rookie because he was the one that committed the foul. If the 4th and 16 is executed better by all involved is a better way to say it. I wasn't happy at all that Lou only rushed 3 to give Pat all day to throw.
I don't remember the specifics but they threw up a couple stats about Evan in that situation and it's a pretty safe bet to say he would have made it. He's made all of his 50+ yarders this year and there was no wind at the time of the kick.