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Originally Posted by staylor26
But this idea that we should've known Hollywood wouldn't be available is blowing that injury history way out of proportion. This unlucky shit is by far the worst he'd had, and it was clearly not the type of injury that has anything to do with being injury prone.
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But again, recovery is unpredictable. And the only way to take that unpredictable nature out of the equation is to not have significant injuries that require recovery.
Brown has plenty of those. So no, it's not 'expected' that he'd be unavailable to this point, but it shouldn't necessarily be a shocker either.
Lemme try it from a different angle (warning -- really overly simplistic medical example to follow). Smoking doesn't EXACTLY cause cancer. What it does is kill cells more rapidly. And in killing cells, the body then responds by regenerating them. The more often it has to regenerate cells, the more likely it is that ONE of those regenerations goes awry and thus a cancerous cell is born that becomes a tumor, etc...
By smoking, you haven't increased the odds of any of one of those cells becoming a mutated cell that turns cancerous. You simply spin the wheel a lot more often because you're killing cells that must then be regenerated.
Hollywoods injury didn't increase the odds that any single recovery goes sideways. But by having multiple recoveries, it increased the chances that he would eventually roll snakeyes. And in this case, that's what happened.