[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by O.city

He's not "shitfting" away from Kelce. He's reacting to the pass, he's already out of position.

If you have the guys that can run thru cover 2, they can't slow you down with it.

As I established in my award winning thesis statement: "Beating the Cover 2 with Speed"....

Y'know, like 48 hours before the Chiefs said "**** that guy, he's a moron" and traded Tyreek Hill. But my point remains, the way to beat the Cover 2 isn't to throw under it. It's to challenge it vertically.

Spoiler!

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Speed gives you more than just running verts.

It lets you challenge everywhere on the field. ESPECIALLY when you have a QB with Pats arm talent. And most assuredly when you're running a WCO offense that thrives on using as much of the field as possible.

Think of a base Cover 2 - now tell me what the hell that coverage is supposed to do against a deep out?

Not a lot of teams can use that deep out route because few quarterbacks have the arm strength to challenge the far sideline from the near hash. And if they do have a QB that can do that, few teams have a guy like Hill that will force teams into that shell or a guy like Kelce that can keep them in the middle of the field.

Well the Chiefs have all that. So tell me how a 2-deep shell deals with that guy? Or a good post-corner route? Or as many would recognize it - WASP. You don't run it that deep, but you can take a 10 yard post and cut it out at 15 yards and catch that post-corner about 22 yards downfield. When that safety is starting 18 yards back and hitting his heels as soon as you snap the ball, he's ****ed.

Lord, even a 14 yard dig route - you'll split the safeties if you can make a speed cut and a fast receiver like MVS can.

Speed isn't just about verts. It's why I just don't give one single shit about a guy like Landry and really don't care much about JuJu. If you want to beat the cover 2, the answer is more speed to challenge more of the field. That 1/2 second you gain on the route by having someone who runs 2 strides quicker makes all the difference in the world.

Hardman can't make a speed cut, so he can't run those routes worth a damn. Pringle was demonstrating that he could, that's why he was getting those routes and why the Bears just gave him $6 million.

What we need is a guy that can. THAT'S how you beat the Cover 2. And a RB with the speed to challenge the corners or put the safeties in an impossible situation on a simple arrow route. Moreover, that's how you keep teams out of those Cover 3 looks that can create some headaches for those routes I discussed above (and Hardman on the drags and quick screens will do the same).

The answer isn't possession WRs. It's what we have, but more of it.

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Spoiler!

So in trying to come up with a 'rape the Cover 2' play here, the simplest example I can come up with is a mirrored post corner/vert package out of 11 personnel. You line up X, Y, TE, Z w/ Hardman in the weak slot, Kelce split off the line into the slot on the strong side, Hill at the Z and let's say MVS at the X.

MVS and Hill run mirrored post-corner routes w/ Hardman and Kelce running mirrored 9 routes. Your fast RB is running a basic arrow route.

So you're going to see a Nickel coverage in all probability (you can't send a dime out there when you see the 11 personnel in the huddle; makes the running game just too easy).

Patrick drops back and as he's dropping the first guy he picks up is the MLB. If he continues to drop, you go over the middle to the RB for an easy 8 yards. Moreover, that RB is man up on the MLB in space and can take it for more. Most likely that MLB doesn't keep dropping and stays at about 8 yard depth to protect the arrow.

So next you move to the FS on Hardman/MVS's side of the field. And this is where they start to have real problems. The FS is watching Hardman's vert and is thinking he may need to shade middle to protect the NCB. He's also seeing Kelce and realizes Kelce's manned up on the SLB so he needs to start moving that direction. While he's heading that way he also sees Hill coming at him on that post route (that isn't a post route). Meanwhile both outside CBs see post routes and pass their guy off because they don't know at the snap that Kelce or Hardman won't be on quick outs so they have to protect their underneath zones.

Now Mahomes watches that FS. If the FS shades middle to protect against Hardman/Kelce, he has MVS getting ready to break that post-corner back to the sideline and he lets it fly to MVS. And MVS got on that FS so fast that he didn't give the FS a chance to recognize what was happening so now he's in a trail position trying to run down a faster MVS who's out there to meet the ball. If the throw is executed, it's an easy 25 yards.

Now as Mahomes is watching that FS, let's say the FS doesn't shade middle. He thinks the NCB has Hardman in check and doesn't stray from MVS - okay, not Mahomes moves over to the SS. The SS is in trouble. He has Kelce vs. a LB so he has a choice to make - continue to play deep and give Kelce a 1v1 matchup about 15-18 yards downfield or come up on that route to take away the throw over the top. Well now he has Hill breathing down his neck and just as he stops going backwards to try to help the LB, Hill makes that speed cut back to the corner on that post-corner. Moreover, both Hill and Mahomes SAW the SS start to set his feet so Hill knows to flatten the route a little and Mahomes knows to put some air under it to let him run under it. Now the SS has the same problem the FS would've had on the other side - He's stuck in a trail position against the fastest man on the field. He's toast and he knows it.

Now put someone at the X that can't run that post-corner route (thy name is Landry or JuJu; let's just say LJ). The FS is never put at a real decision point because LJ is a stride slower and has given him just a little more time/space to wait the play out. And he knows that even if he's in a trail position on those guys, he can still get back in time to break up the pass. So the FS shades middle. When he starts to shade middle, he's now in a position to challenge a throw to Kelce. The SS sees this and knows he can stay over the top off Hill and the FS recognizes that at full speed he can probably undercut the route on Hill anyway.

What unlocks that entire concept is the speed that MVS brings to the table at the X. It freezes the FS and puts him in an impossible position. Whatever he does is going to either leave MVS open or rat-**** the SS. And because you have Hardman in that slot on the vert, the weakside boundary corner has to stay honest on thye underneath zone because he knows that if that becomes an out route and Hardman gets in space, he can simply split the gap between him and the FS and house it. The only thing that could absolutely wreck that whole thing is the boundary corners getting up in press before they drop into zone, whacking the shit out of the X and Z and throwing the timing out of whack. But they can't do that when they know how explosive MVS and Hill can be if they get off that release.

The answer is more speed. More speed at X, more speed at RB. Speed makes it all go.