Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
Yeah, all the people who watch tape are saying "Man, the Chiefs present lots of problems for the 49ers on defense, and the Chiefs defense has the tools to slow down the 49ers offense."
Stats-driven analysis is skewing a bit towards the 49ers because of how excellent they were in the middle stretch of the season, but it doesn't match how they have played in the playoffs.
DVOA and its like have REAL blind spots when it comes to teams that pour it on against mediocre and bad teams.
Kind of like run differential in baseball. Cool, an offense is really great at beating the crap out of 5th starters, and teams don't get crazy trying to chase wins and prevent runs in those situations. Does the fact a team won 20-3, with 8 of the runs coming against the worst pitcher on the team and a position player pitching an inning, tell us anything about how that team will do against a good SP/playoff approach?
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This just looks like a team built to beat this 49ers squad.
Physical CBs, speed across the defense, a varied pass rush, power running game, elite pass-catching TE.
I mean I just don't think I care what DVOA says. This team seems purpose built to be a problem for the 49ers.