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Old 02-01-2024, 10:35 AM   #838
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RunKC View Post
Not trying to be cocky or overconfident but man looking at the 49ers defense with the way Mahomes is playing? I think we're due for a 30 point game.

The 49ers secondary is really bad. Like Chiefs 2018 level bad. Wide open WR's all over the field in both playoff games. Oh and both running games getting 6+ YPC on the ground from their lead backs. Detroit could have ran for 200 on those guys.

It feels like we could do exactly what we did in Baltimore to these guys. Get up on them early and force them to abandon the run and have Spags open his blitzing torture chamber upon Purdy.

Again, not being overconfident but I think this could be the first SB we play that could get ugly for our opponent.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
I keep having a lot of the same feelings I had going into Buffalo.

I felt like we could score whenever we needed against Buffalo but Buffalo has a couple of weapons that could give us trouble in Kincaid and Cook.

SF is very similar to Buffalo in that regard, but a little better. Kittle is a little better than Kincaid, CMC better than Cook, their WR duo is better than Buffalos as a complementary threat. Their defense is also bad but a little better than Buffalo's (in the condition it was in).

Now Buffalo had Allen who played very well and that serves as a bit of an equalizer. If Purdy can have a career game and be at/near the level Allen was, we're going to have trouble. Because at that point they're Buffalo but better.

But if I just put a 'representative' performance in there for Purdy - that's not going to be good enough.
Yeah, when you look at matchups, I just don't think the 49ers' defense has the Xs and Os or Jimmies and Joes to significantly hinder the Chiefs' offense.

The basic scheme they like is not a good matchup against KC. They run their zone, and rely on their players winning. That shit just isn't going to cut it against Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.

And the players they have on the back end are NOT good fits against KC even if they switch up the scheme and run a bunch of man.


Outside of Bosa, I don't think the 49ers have a DL that is going to consistently succeed against the Chiefs' OL.

They also don't have much complexity or disguise going on.

What I don't think is really being discussed in matching the 49ers offense to the Chiefs defense is WHERE the 49ers want to run.

This is a run game that wants to get OUTSIDE and run stretch. Even when they run it with Samuel, it's not about trying to get inside.

The Chiefs' defense defends outside run quite a bit better than interior power run.

Maybe they come in and use the I and try to power it up the middle. But that isn't really what this offense is about.

Another matchup I'm interested in... when the 49ers are in their 11 set, who is kept in to pick up blitzers? Are they going to use McCaffery or do they pull Kittle in for that?

49ers ran 11 as their primary formation (about 1/2 the time) and 22 about 1/3 of the time.

That 22 set might be the one they try to lean into and power it against KC. But if they're doing that, it means that one of the WRs is off the field, so is it really a loss?
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