Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
This an even more drastic styles-make-fights thing than the Ravens game was.
When you look at the 49ers, they are a drastically heavy zone team. Only the Bengals and Saints were more heavily zone teams. They don't have a lot of talent on the back end, and their front 4 pass rush is not THAT special this year, though Bosa is still a heavy game-wrecker (but one KC has shown it can handle/neutralize, even with Austin Wylie as his primary pass blocker).
This Chiefs offense is just not going to struggle against zone. Kelce is too good. Mahomes is too good. Rice is too good against it. Reid's scheme absolutely blowtorches cover 3.
I expect the Chiefs to efficiently and effectively move the ball. If the 49ers go to man, I don't think they have an effective answer for Kelce between their personnel and lack of reliance on man concepts.
It will come down to whether the 49ers offense - which is, admittedly, absolutely loaded at the skill positions - can do the same to the Chiefs defense. I expect it to have more success than the Ravens because their talent level is higher and Brock Purdy is a more competent passer than Lamar Jackson.
I think the Chiefs can get home against the 49ers OL outside of Trent Williams. The question is, I guess, if they can do enough against the 49ers run game to get stops.
Chiefs offense is going to put up 27-30 points, I feel. If the Chiefs' D ends the season not having allowed more than 27 points in a game, pretty confident the Chiefs win.
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For SF I think two players that will have the biggest impact on whether they win or not will be CMC on offense and Young on defense.
The offense runs through CMC and limiting him will force them to throw it which plays into KCs biggest strength.
Bosa is a game wrecker and KC will account for him. If Young plays up to his potential, that could make everyone’s job much harder.