Quote:
Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath15
This is the issue with the offense right here - and why some of us are having trouble with them passing the eye test.
From memory, we scored a TD on like 75% of RZ drives last year - and I'm betting we're in the 50-55% range this year.
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Most studies will suggest that red zone efficiency isn't projectable. It's pretty erratic. In other words, its not a repeatable skill (and typically isn't a permanent flaw).
It'll typically work out roughly on par with the caliber of your offense as a whole. Teams that move the ball well between the 20s will typically have good red zone performances by season's end. And vice versa.
It doesn't always work out that way but it's usually a small N fluke more than anything and you'll see teams come out the following year with similar personnel that suddenly show some massive swing (good or bad) in the red zone and it really doesn't mean anything.
I just don't worry a lot about it. It'll work out in the wash.