Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
I've said for years that I think you have to run a bit but the baseline number is vastly overstated and the returns for running beyond that over overstated as well.
My target would be 12-15 rush attempts/gm unless the other team is just daring us to do it like the Bills did 2-3 years ago. If we had an entire season where we called 225 designed rushes and over half of those were on 3rd and short or goal to go situations, I'd be happy as a pig in shit.
Because I have essentially no use for first down runs on our side of the football field apart from using them as straight up tendency breakers designed to confuse the spreadsheets in games that you're pretty sure you'll have well in-hand by the 4th. In that case? Sure - run the ball a dozen times in a 'close' game because when the opponent starts crunching stats in December, those carries are gonna make the data fuzzy.
And yeah, I'm absolutely convinced that Reid does that.
But as a preferred means to move the football and win the game? Pft - running is wildly overrated. You don't have to do it much. You don't have to do it particularly well. A modicum of effort is good enough.
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Everything should be on the table as tendency breakers to keep the defense guessing and on shaky ground at all times.