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Originally Posted by kccrow
I'm of the opposite opinion, honestly.
Stroud and Young probably go 1 and 2 or 3 overall and DE Anderson should end up at 2 or 3 depending on QB need. So, movement in the top 3 is unlikely at best.
At QB, that leaves Levis as the next guy more than likely up. Will teams fight over him? I don't see it happening. Maybe he goes around 10 and a team moves up but I just don't see anyone selling the farm for him. Richardson or McKee might also end up in round 1, but that's a fringe proposition I think.
There could be a fight over the top few WRs but last year showed teams weren't very willing to go up into the top 10 for them. I don't see a ton of skill difference between those receivers last year and this year's crop. So, you're probably competing for near equivalent slotting as anyone that might be moving up for a WR in those picks 11-14.
It actually looks to be shaping up to be similar to the 2020 draft IMO.
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Fair points. For me I just think with the landscape of the NFL there are a number of teams who are desperate now for young blood at the QB position, not even accounting for how high the position is valued.
Now some of these teams got a QB last year, like the Commanders with Howell, but these guys are barely back-up grade. There's just going to be a scramble over the talent at the position. If you look at a list of teams that want a young QB with good tools its quite a large one and mostly the position is overdrafted.
There's also the knock on effect of having a good QB crop plus a guy like Will Anderson, other really elite talents will be knocked down and there's an incentive to trade up into the top 10/15 that wasn't there last year. For me that means the cost will be higher because there will be more competing to do it.
I could be wrong, obviously we're only part way into the season and a long way from the draft process really starting. At this stage though if the projected top 3 from the 2023 were in the 2022 draft they'd go 1 2 and 3 and honestly I would be surprised if 2022 no. 1 Travon Walker would not go top 5 in the 2023 draft if he were going pro next year.