Quote:
Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar
I don’t know the criteria they used, but I was specifically talking about accurate throws that were bobbled straight into the hands of a DB. Not 50/50 balls or tipped passes. That scenario is very uncommon but it happened probably 7 times last year.
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That's exactly what his link is looking at. It looks at each throw and determines its probability of being intercepted, compiles that throughout the season, and compares that to how many throws actually were intercepted.
Either Chiefs fans are overestimating how many good throws Mahomes made that ended up being intercepted, or Mahomes also made a lot of bad throws that were not intercepted.