Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackOp
Oh no...SF has a 4% higher rate than KC. Chiefs are ****ed..
Team Pass Rush Win Rate
1. Dallas Cowboys, 53%
2. Atlanta Falcons, 53%
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 51%
4. Philadelphia Eagles, 50%
5. Los Angeles Rams, 50%
6. Pittsburgh Steelers, 50%
7. Jacksonville Jaguars, 48%
8. Buffalo Bills, 47%
9. Green Bay Packers, 47%
10. Arizona Cardinals, 46%
11. Los Angeles Chargers, 45%
12. New York Jets, 45%
13. San Francisco 49ers, 45%
14. Baltimore Ravens, 45%
15. Indianapolis Colts, 43%
16. Seattle Seahawks, 43%
17. New York Giants, 41%
18. Cleveland Browns, 41%
19. Kansas City Chiefs, 41%
20. Tennessee Titans, 41%
Chris Jones is #3 in the NFL with a 19% pass rush win rate...SF has no one in the top 10.
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This stat can be hard to find but I LOVE it.
Because it isn't a measure of how well the opposing QB breaks the pocket or how fast the opposing OC gets the ball out.
It's a simple distillation of how often your DL beats their OL. It gets rid of a LOT of noise.
Now 4% isn't nothing because it's an accumulation of every pass-rush snap your DL gets. So if you figure 4 DL and 40 drop-backs, that's 160 aggregate pass rush snaps.
That's 6-7 more pass rush 'wins' over the course of the game. But ultimately it's just 6-7. If you figure a really good pass rush gets a sack, what, 9% of the time? You can figure that maybe 20% of your pass rush wins equate to a sack.
So the difference between the vaunted, world-eating SF pass-rush and the evidently hapless Chiefs pass rush is...one sack? And that's presuming that each team plays against a QB that is similarly effective at escaping pressure. Well Mahomes is substantially better at it than Garappolo is.
I mean this idea that the pass rush is going to be night and day in this matchup is ludicrous. KC's pass rush could very easily be just as impactful on Sunday as SFs and virtually any meaningful review of the numbers or personnel will support that.