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Old 01-24-2020, 12:44 PM   #3095
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RealSNR View Post
Is 49ers fan seriously suggesting that his team would be able to waltz up to the #1 overall pick to draft Trevor Lawrence in 2021? "Oh, don't get me wrong, I KNOW how expensive it would be. It would be like... at least a future 1st rounder. Maybe even two!"

Dude, try your entire 2021 draft. And all of 2022's draft. And first rounders in 2023 and 2024. You probably need to also throw in the 2nds and 3rds from those drafts, too. And one of your young DL. Then you MIGHT approach just the POINT VALUE it would take. You have to add on top of that the value of Trevor Lawrence himself.

No, sir. You DON'T understand what it takes to move up that far. By even suggesting it's a possibility, it's clear that you have no clue what it would actually take. And even then, I don't think the team who holds the #1 overall pick would take that deal.
Like I said - Madden mentality.

In Madden you can pretty much ALWAYS give up a 1,2,3 and next years 1 to move up to 1.1 because the algorithm just does basic math focused on the value of the picks and not the player himself.

Nobody's trading the most valuable 1.1 since the Luck draft. Or the Manning draft before that.

You want to work your way up to the spot AFTER Lawrence? Yeah, that could be done. At great cost, but it might happen.

But to get Lawrence simply isn't possible because whatever the 49ers would be willing to give up in terms of overall number of picks, some other team would do it as well but with each pick having higher short/long term value due to the team being higher in the draft order and having an organization that hasn't established itself as being as strong as S.Fs.

The only chance is to get a pick this season that turns into 1.1 through happenstance or to suck on their own.
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