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Originally Posted by Megatron96
Things like this is where I find DVOA/metrics in general can be misleading.
Obviously, the 49ers are a better team than the Vikings.
And Jimmy is a better QB than Kirk. Though I'm curious to see how Jimmy does when pressured consistently, and he can't rely on the run game.
But I wonder just how much better. Because I'm seeing trends in their performances that lead me to believe that the 49ers defense isn't that great against the run. And that there are holes in the secondary that can be exploited by a passing attack like ours.
Because it's going to come down to once Pat figures out what those weaknesses are, and cancels out the running attack of SF, can Jimmy go throw for throw against Pat?
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Actually, you have to be cautious in evaluating the 49ers run defense. Kwon Alexander was out most of the year and just came back. He's a huge difference maker in the run defense. Basically, when Kwon's in, they add a super fast pro bowl caliber LB, Warner goes to his natural position and rookie Al-Shaiir goes to the bench. The stats you're looking are without Kwon. Look at the playoffs and how they played Cook and Jones. That's more indicative. That said, the d-line is pretty light and can get gassed. SF needs to win time of possession to keep the defense fresh.