Quote:
Originally Posted by BryanBusby
Nelson is really the victim of being targeted so much. He had a good stop rate, but because he was targeted so damn much the cameras also caught him giving up catches a lot.
He's an average player that sometimes has a total breakdown for one reason or another. I think they got their value from him at that draft slot and I'd probably leave it at that with him and let him sign a big deal somewhere else.
His cap figure is where it's at today in large because of restructures into a bonus and kicking his can down the road. Looking at OTC right now, he has a base of 15.2 for 2019 and I think he wouldn't struggle to match that in an open market where all the top edge guys aren't on it.
He would definitely get a figure way North of what his base would be if the Chiefs were to cut his salary enough to have a comfortable cap charge this season. That's without beginning to even factor in, what if he doesn't translate well in the change? A down year and flipping over to the wrong side of 30 would be a crusher when the Chiefs release him next year, which would be a total lock in any situation sans an extension.
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The uncertainty of his fit in the 4-3 is definitely a wrench. The Chiefs may not want to extend him if they don't know his fit.
What's a fair comparison? aybe Jason Pierre-Paul or Calais Campbell? (Ryan Kerrigan / Clay Matthews in a 3-4). $60M players. So we ask Houston to take a $60M contract with a $15M bonus. Houston makes the same amount of money this year but now he's virtually guaranteed until retirement. We save money (potentially a lot in year 1). Win win.