Quote:
Originally Posted by TEX
Deal is, he and I have literally been having this discussion for over a decade - and every year, when they get gifted an early season home heavy schedule, he loses ground... Yet comes back stronger than ever the following year as to why it doesn't matter.  |
Over the decade, there have been some strong teams... and I don't think timing of location mattered much. Hell, in 2015 - they won a SB starting 4 of 6 on the road. But, then there's the whole league gave them the Papa Johns SB item--- so that negates that one. You guys certainly have the bases covered.
And, go back to 2010 ... looking at all those early season home games in the first few weeks, they certainly didn't win them all. So, that doesn't help the 'inflated wins' theory right?
2010 - first 2 of 3 at home, went 1-1 at home
2011 - first 2 at home, went 1-1 losing the opener
2012 - first 2 of 3 at home, went 1-1 at home
2013 - first 3 of 4 at home, won 'em all on way to 13 wins
2014 - first 3 of 4 at home, won 'em all on way to 12 wins
2015 - first 2 of 6 at home (wk 1 and 4), won both on way to 12 wins
2016 - first 2 of 4 at home, won both
2017 - first 4 of 5 at home, won 3
2018 - first 3 of 4 at home, won 2
2015 - 2 home / 4 road and 2017 - 4 home / 1 road are the two real extremes. In 2015, the good team fought through it and won. In 2017, they weren't a good team and failed.
I'm still perplexed as to why there would be a focused effort to give Denver early home games on purpose. In the end, I think it evens out - the downside to that schedule is they are playing on the road late when they are beaten up and chasing playoff aspirations.
This idea that it artificially inflates wins is bogus to me... look at 2010, 2011, 2012.. 2013-2015, those were very good teams.
I guess if you want to argue that the last two seasons, Denver would be a win or 2 less and still just suck outright with sub .500 records. Sure, go for it - they either suck with 3 wins or 5 wins in those years.
I just don't see where the advantage was in the other years.