[Quesadilla Joe]

Originally Posted by Stryker

Worst overpays

1. Sammy Watkins, Kansas City Chiefs
Deal: Three years, $48 million

The good news is that Watkins is young, talented and joining a team coached by Andy Reid, who excels at maximizing personnel. The bad news is that Watkins simply has not been very productive, a leading reason he is on his third team in eight months.

The Chiefs are paying Watkins as though he's a sure bet. They were not the only team willing to spend big for him. Dallas was also interested, as was Chicago. It seems like a case of teams valuing a player based more on their draft reports than what the player has done since college.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/stor...worst-overpays

More from that article...

Watkins' annual average is a shade under what Mike Evans got in Tampa Bay, and twice what Paul Richardson received in Washington. (Watkins and Richardson have nearly identical numbers over the past two seasons, albeit in eight fewer games for Watkins.)

Watkins ranks 57th in receptions, 30th in receiving yards and 17th in receiving touchdowns since entering the league in 2014, which could indicate he simply needs more opportunities.

Hitchens also cracked the list:

7. Anthony Hitchens, Kansas City Chiefs

Deal: Five years, $45 million

The Chiefs are paying $9 million a year for a linebacker not everyone sees as a three-down player. Two evaluators agreed that Hitchens is a good player but not a difference-maker. They thought he could struggle in coverage, while noting he would be transitioning from a 4-3 base defense in Dallas to a 3-4 base defense in Kansas City. With good linebacker depth in the draft, comparable alternatives could be available for much less money.