Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiefs=Good
I feel like 1st time nfl head coaches often rush into bad positions. You only have so many chances, keep being an assistant untill the perfect opportunity comes up and allow yourself to have a 5+ career instead of a 1-2 tenure.
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Or if Mahomes stumbles next year, Nagy ends up wearing the goat horns for it and falls off short lists.
Think of Nagy as a college junior thinking about leaving early. He gets a 'top 5 pick' grade. He's probably going to have his pick of any available jobs right now - I think he's the best candidate on the market and the offensive resurgence after it was announced he was calling plays only reinforces that. Hell, Doug Pederson's success will help sell him as well.
So back to the analogy, if you're a prospect and you get a top 5 grade, would it really be smart to go back to college another year on the chance of improving it to top 3? Or consensus 1? I wouldn't think so - the downside is that you go all Matt Barkley and lose out on tens of millions while never really getting an opportunity to shine either way.
If Nagy takes the Colts job, he's a head coach with Andrew Luck, TY Hilton and some solid complementary parts. He's an O-Line rebuild away from having a truly dynamic offense (bearing in mind that he may not even need that - Luck's never had an OL worth a damn and still puts up points when healthy).
If he passes to wait for a better job...what's that job? Hell, even if a SB winner retires and he takes over, there's nowhere to go but down. A great situation is a team that's either just entering or just emerging from a rebuild with a new front office. That situation is going to get you 5 years of rope and a lot of runway. If you can't turn a team around in 4-5 years or at least show signs of it happening, you don't deserve the gig anyway.
There are several jobs (Giants, Colts, Bears) that are no brainers for him, IMO. And even a couple others like the Lions and Cardinals that would be decent fits. The Cards are getting a new quarterback and still have David Johnson. Nagy will get plenty of rope there and has the best all-purpose back in the league to help him ease a transition not to mention a damn talented young defense that could help cover his warts as an offense-first guy.
Nagy's gone unless we can win a SB and Andy retires on top.