Thread: Chiefs What if Mahomes fails as an NFL QB?
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Old 11-28-2017, 09:13 AM   #87
Eleazar Eleazar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Eleazar View Post
The odds are against any QB becoming a long term NFL starter, no matter how talented or highly drafted they are.
To expand on this, the most likely scenario for ANY qb is that they don't work out. There are only about 20 decent QBs in the league, and only about 6-8 that are good enough to win a Super Bowl. Meanwhile, dozens of prospects come out of school every year and are signed to NFL teams.

So, the chance are that Mahomes won't work out. But if he doesn't, you're no worse off than if you spent 5 years with an Alex Smith. Still no Super Bowls.

If 3-4 years go by and he's not maturing, then you start over and draft another. You haven't won the QB lottery but you haven't lost anything. Really. Unless you're a true fan that cares about assuring wild card berths and being 'watchable' or 'competitive' more than anything.
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