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Old 10-18-2017, 12:29 PM   #877
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pawnmower View Post
there are pros and cons to everything

many people feel that mahomes' ceiling is higher than Alex's ... is that reasonable? Sure...

Many people feel Alex can win a suberbowl this season....so he should be the starter...Is that reasonable? Sure.


only time will tell who is 'correct' here....In my mind here is how I view this:

MOST people, I would say 90% of all of us..agree that:

Alex Smith should be the starter right now...because with him we have some degree (let's call it x%) higher chance to go farther in the playoffs / superbowl.

also I think most people agree that:

Pat Mahomes, while not ready right now....has a higher ceiling and the potential to be a great QB...the QBOTF

so , as far as 'big picture' we are all in agreement....., well if not all, i think the VAST majority of us.

So, then the key disagreement comes from the critical question: At what point do we start Mahomes?

I would say since we already established that no one reasonable is saying to start mahomes now, we actually already agree on this question too. In my mind we go back and look at the X%. As soon as that x% goes to zero (or into the negative obviously) or close to zero, you have to start Mahomes. It really is that simple, and I truly think thats how most people look at it.


I can confidently say this: Alex Smith has gotten every ounce out of his ability as a qb. His ceiling is Pat Mahomes basement. His arm is in the Elway, Farve, Stafford elite category. His scrambling ability is in the Russell Wilson stratosphere. I think he's good to go in 18. But you can't look at guys like DJ, Berry, Hali and tell them you can sacrifice a golden opportunity to win a title and his year at the need to get a rookie qb ready in a trial by fire scenario.


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