Quote:
Originally Posted by Rausch
I would disagree with that.
It's clearly the easiest position to become productive from off the bat but...
Gurley, MJD, Priest Holmes, LJ, hell I could name 20 guys that didn't bust out their rookie year...
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Okay, first of all (and I should not have to explain this, but I always do) patterns do not mean something is universally true 100% of the time . #notall
Outliers exist in everything, and pointing them out does nothing to disprove anything about the general trend. You'll notice the word 'usually', which OBVIOUSLY implies the existence of outliers.
Priest didn't have a carry in his first season and was recovering from a knee injury. His first season as a starter he was productive. I never said anything about 'break out superstar', I said productive.
MJD rushed for over 900 yards at 5.7 yards per carry as a BACK UP. He was very productive right away.
Gurley had 10 TD's, over 1100 yards, and averaged 4.8 YPC as a rookie. Didn't he win offensive rookie of the year?!
These guys aren't even outliers. Thomas Jones is a more viable outlier, as he did improve enough to become a decent RB.
If a rookie comes in averaging 3.4 YPC on 200 carries, they
almost never become anything productive.
I omit Larry Johnson, because it takes a long time to explain why I think he was ALWAYS over-rated and that his one spectacular season was a fluke. His vision was trash. Always. There's a reason I wanted to trade him after his 2005 season...