FROM ESPN:
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2...s-win-afc-west
1. The Chiefs will win the AFC West
In a tightly packed division, FPI has decided to push its chips to the middle of the table on ... quarterback Alex Smith?
Right off the bat, this is one of those predictions that comes with a caveat. In this case, FPI thinks there is only a 38.5 percent chance that Kansas City will win the AFC West, though that is the highest in the division.
Regardless, FPI is hitching its wagon to Kansas City. It may not be the sexiest team to pick, but that is why the Chiefs are so often overlooked. There's plenty of preseason hype for Oakland's offense and Denver's defense, but we shouldn't forget about Kansas City's ... special teams.
4. The Broncos are no longer a good football team
While Denver missed out on the postseason last year, the Broncos
were still widely considered a very solid squad.
Those days are over.
FPI projects Denver to win just 7.7 games in 2017, thanks to a lackluster-at-best offense.
While the Broncos' 2015 team proved it could win despite poor quarterback play, it is still an exceptionally difficult task to accomplish. With Trevor Siemian under center again, the defense will have to be just about perfect, and FPI isn't quite as optimistic about the Denver defense this year -- ranking the unit seventh-best in the league.